North Carolina vs. Syracuse Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 21

The No. 16 North Carolina Tar Heels (20-6, 8-5 ACC) visit the Syracuse Orange (15-12, 6-8 ACC) at JMA Wireless Dome, starting at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The Orange are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 153.5.

Last time out, North Carolina lost 82-58 to NC State on Tuesday. In the losing effort, Jarin Stevenson paced North Carolina with 13 points. Syracuse's last contest on Monday ended in a 101-64 loss to Duke. Syracuse got a team-best 12 points from William Kyle III in the loss.

North Carolina vs. Syracuse Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET
• Where: JMA Wireless Dome in Syracuse, New York
• Spread favorite: North Carolina -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: North Carolina -125
• Moneyline underdog: Syracuse +102
• Over/Under: 153.5 points

How to watch North Carolina vs. Syracuse

• TV Channel: ABC
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: North Carolina vs. Syracuse

• A total of 11 of North Carolina's games this season have gone over Saturday's total of 153.5 points.
• A total of 13 of Syracuse's games have ended with a combined score higher than 153.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 156.9 points per game, 3.4 points more than the point total of 153.5 for this matchup.
• This game's total is 9.4 fewer points than the 144.1 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• North Carolina has seen a 151.8 average over/under in its games this season, 1.7 less than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this game is 4.2 points more than the average over/under in Syracuse's games this season (149.3 points).

Betting the Spread: North Carolina vs. Syracuse

• Against the spread, North Carolina is 13-13-0 this year.
• The Tar Heels have an ATS record of 10-10 in their 20 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more so far this season.
• Syracuse has played 27 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• This year, the Orange have an against-the-spread record of 6-6 in their 12 games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
• Syracuse is 12-4 overall, and 8-8 against the spread, at home.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or more at home, Syracuse is 6-6 ATS.
• North Carolina is 3-5 overall, and 3-5 against the spread, away from home.
• On the road, North Carolina has one win ATS (1-3) as 1.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: North Carolina vs. Syracuse

• North Carolina has been the moneyline favorite in 19 games this season and won 16 (84.2%) of those contests.
• The Tar Heels are 16-2 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for North Carolina.
• Syracuse has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 12 games this year and has walked away with the win three times (25%) in those games.
• The Orange have a win-loss record of 3-8 with odds of +102 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Syracuse has a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.