New Mexico State vs. Samford Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 21

The New Mexico State Aggies (3-0) host the Samford Bulldogs (3-3) at Pan American Center, tipping off at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, November 21, 2025. The Bulldogs are 8.5-point underdogs in the game. The over/under is 144.5 in the matchup.

In its last matchup on Saturday, New Mexico State earned a 76-68 victory over New Mexico. Anthony Wrzeszcz recorded 16 points, zero rebounds and three assists for New Mexico State. Samford's last game on Wednesday ended in a 77-62 loss to FGCU. Jadin Booth totaled 27 points, one rebound and one assist for Samford.

New Mexico State vs. Samford Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, November 21, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Pan American Center in Las Cruces, New Mexico
• Spread favorite: New Mexico State -8.5
• Moneyline favorite: New Mexico State -410
• Moneyline underdog: Samford +316
• Over/Under: 144.5 points

How to watch New Mexico State vs. Samford

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: New Mexico State vs. Samford

• New Mexico State and its opponent combined to score over 144.5 points, the current matchup's total, in nine of 29 games last year.
• Last season, 21 of Samford's 30 matchups went over 144.5 total points scored.
• These two teams averaged a combined 152.6 points per game a season ago, 8.1 more points than the over/under of 144.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams averaged a combined 141.4 points per game last season, 3.1 fewer than the over/under for this game.
• The average over/under New Mexico State had set in games last year was 8.9 fewer points than this outing's point total.
• The average over/under in Samford's games in 2024 was 13.9 more points than the point total of 144.5 in this outing.

Betting the Spread: New Mexico State vs. Samford

• New Mexico State covered 13 times in 29 chances against the spread last season.
• Samford put together a 15-15-0 ATS record last year.
• The Bulldogs were an underdog by 8.5 points or more two times last year, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• New Mexico State was 4-8 against the spread, and 6-6 overall, at home last year.
• Samford was 6-9 against the spread, and 9-6 overall, in away games last season.
• Samford went 3-2 ATS as a 8.5-point underdog or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: New Mexico State vs. Samford

• New Mexico State finished 7-7 in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 50% of those games).
• The Aggies did not play a game last season with moneyline odds of -410 or shorter.
• New Mexico State has an 80.4% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
• Last season, Samford was listed as the underdog in three games and failed to win any of those contests.
• The Bulldogs played as an underdog of +316 or more twice last season and lost both games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 24.0% chance of a victory for Samford.