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Braves vs. Padres Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 22

22 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres square off against the Atlanta Braves, a game after Manny Machado went deep twice in an 8-3 victory over the Braves, at 7:15 p.m. ET on Wednesday. Martin Perez (6-6, 3.54 ERA) will start for the Braves, who are 58-42 this season and first in the NL East. Michael King (6-7, 3.34 ERA) is starting for the Padres, who are 50-51 and third in the NL West.

Per the moneyline, the matchup between the Braves (-117) and Padres (-104) looks like a close one. The total in this contest is set at 8.5.

Braves vs. Padres Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
  • Game time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park
  • Favorite: Braves (-117)
  • Underdog: Padres (-104)
  • Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Braves vs. Padres

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Braves vs. Padres: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Braves have won 46 of the 73 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (63%).
  • San Diego has been pegged as an underdog in 58 games this year and has walked away with the win 27 times (46.6%) in those games.
  • Atlanta has a record of 40-26 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -117 on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a win-loss record of 23-29 when favored by -104 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Braves have an implied win probability of 53.9%.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 51% chance of pulling out a win.

Braves vs. Padres: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Braves have played in 99 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 48 times (48-46-5).
  • So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of its 101 games with a total.
  • The Braves have put together a 53-46-0 record against the spread this season (covering 53.5% of the time).
  • In 101 games with a line this season, the Padres have a mark of 55-46-0 against the spread.
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