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Astros vs. Marlins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 22

22 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The Houston Astros will look to Jeremy Pena, currently on a two-game homer streak, against the Miami Marlins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, at Daikin Park. Peter Lambert (8-5, 3.03 ERA) will start for the Astros, who are 49-54 this season and third in the AL West. Sandy Alcantara (10-5, 3.89 ERA) is starting for the Marlins, who are 52-50 and third in the NL East.

The moneyline odds for the Astros (-120) versus the Marlins (-101) are tight. The contest has a total set at 8.

Astros vs. Marlins Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
  • Game time: 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Daikin Park
  • Favorite: Astros (-120)
  • Underdog: Marlins (-101)
  • Over/under: 8

How to Watch Astros vs. Marlins

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Astros vs. Marlins: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Astros have a 17-21 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 44.7% of those games).
  • Miami has been underdogs in 54 games this season and has come away with the win 20 times (37%) in those contests.
  • This season Houston has won 13 of its 31 games, or 41.9%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • This year, the Marlins have won 18 of 46 games when listed as at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Astros have a 54.5% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Astros vs. Marlins: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Astros have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 103 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 53 of those games (53-44-6).
  • Miami's games have gone over the total in 53 of its 102 chances.
  • The Astros have collected a 51-52-0 record against the spread this season.
  • In 102 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 52-50-0 against the spread.
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