New Mexico vs. Colorado State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 4

The New Mexico Lobos (22-7, 13-5 MWC) host the Colorado State Rams (19-10, 10-8 MWC) at The Pit, beginning at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 4, 2026. The Rams are 8.5-point underdogs in the game. The point total is set at 150.5 for the matchup.

In its last time out, New Mexico won on Saturday 81-76 over San Diego State. In the win, Tomislav Buljan paced New Mexico with 24 points. Colorado State is coming off of an 85-73 win against San Jose State in its most recent outing on Saturday. In Colorado State's win, Brandon Rechsteiner led the way with 20 points (adding four rebounds and one assist).

New Mexico vs. Colorado State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 4, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: The Pit in Albuquerque, New Mexico
• Spread favorite: New Mexico -8.5
• Moneyline favorite: New Mexico -424
• Moneyline underdog: Colorado State +320
• Over/Under: 150.5 points

How to watch New Mexico vs. Colorado State

• TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: New Mexico vs. Colorado State

• New Mexico and its opponents have combined to go over Wednesday's over/under of 150.5 points 16 times this season.
• In Colorado State's 28 games this season, 12 finished with more combined points than Wednesday's over/under of 150.5.
• The total for the contest of 150.5 is 7.2 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Lobos (80.7) and Rams (77.0).
• The 140.8 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 9.7 fewer than the 150.5 total in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in New Mexico's games is 0.2 fewer points than the over/under of 150.5 in this contest.
• Colorado State's games have an average over/under of 148.0 points this season, 2.5 fewer points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: New Mexico vs. Colorado State

• New Mexico has 15 wins against the spread in 28 games this year.
• The Lobos have an ATS record of 5-7 in their 12 games when favored by 8.5 points or more so far this season.
• Against the spread, Colorado State is 17-11-0 this season.
• The Rams have been underdogs by 8.5 points or more two times this season and have not covered the spread once.
• At home this season, New Mexico is 8-7 against the spread and 13-2 overall.
• At home, New Mexico is 4-5 ATS as a 8.5-point favorite or greater.
• In away games, Colorado State is 5-5 overall and 5-5 against the spread.
• Colorado State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 8.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: New Mexico vs. Colorado State

• New Mexico has entered the game as moneyline favorites 20 times this season and won 17, or 85%, of those games.
• The Lobos are undefeated in 11 games this season when favored by -424 or more on the moneyline.
• New Mexico has a 80.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Colorado State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 11 games this year and has walked away with the win four times (36.4%) in those games.
• The Rams have been listed as an underdog of +320 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• Colorado State has an implied victory probability of 23.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for New Mexico vs. Colorado State

• Pick ATS: New Mexico (- 8.5)
• Pick OU: Under (150.5)
  
• Prediction: New Mexico 78 - Colorado State 64