Mystics vs. Sun: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 28

The Washington Mystics (14-12) take on the Connecticut Sun (7-20) at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, July 28, 2026. The matchup airs on NBCS-BOS and MNMT.

In Washington's last game, it defeated Las Vegas 100-99. The Mystics were led by Shakira Austin, who finished with 25 points and six rebounds, and Sonia Citron, with 20 points and eight assists.

Connecticut won on the road over Indiana 88-123 last time out, and were led by Diamond Miller (15 PTS, 44.4 FG%, 4-5 from 3PT) and Saniya Rivers (13 PTS, 6 AST, 42.9 FG%).

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Mystics vs. Sun Betting Lines

Grab a look below at the latest betting lines for the Mystics-Sun matchup.

• Favorite: Mystics (-5.5)
• Total: 156.5
• Mystics Moneyline: -205
• Sun Moneyline: +164

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Mystics Betting Insights

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Mystics have an implied win probability of 67.2%.
• Washington is 6-4 in games when favored on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games).
• The Mystics are 15-11-0 ATS this season.
• In 16 games this season, Washington and its opponents have scored more than 156.5 combined points.
• Mystics contests this year have an average total of 163.7, 7.2 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Sun Betting Insights

• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Sun have a 37.9% chance to win.
• This season, Connecticut has been the underdog 24 times and won six, or 25%, of those games.
• The Sun have put together a 14-13-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Connecticut's games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 156.5 points in 21 of 27 outings.
• The Sun's average game total this season has been 166.2, 9.7 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Key Stats for Mystics vs. Sun

• Washington averages 80.8 points per game, 6.3 fewer points than the 87.1 Connecticut gives up.
• When the Mystics put up more than 87.1 points, they are 6-1.
• Washington has scored at a much higher clip in home games than on the road in the 2026 season (83.5 points per game at home versus 78.4 on the road), but has also surrendered more points at home than on the road (84.8 per home game versus 81.7 on the road).
• Connecticut averages only 3.1 fewer points per game (80.0) than Washington gives up (83.1).
• The Sun have gone 5-4 when they've scored more than 83.1 points.
• At home, Connecticut is better offensively, averaging 81.4 points per game, compared to 78.5 on the road. The team is also better defensively, giving up 85.0 points per game at home, and 89.3 on the road.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.