Mystics vs. Sun: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 28

The Washington Mystics (14-12) go up against the Connecticut Sun (7-20) at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, July 28, 2026. The matchup airs on NBCS-BOS and MNMT.

Washington prevailed by a final score of 100-99 in its last game against Las Vegas. Leading the way on offense for the Mystics was Shakira Austin, who wound up with 20 points and six rebounds. Sonia Citron posted 20 points and eight assists.

In its previous game, Connecticut fell on the road to Indiana 123-88, with Diamond Miller (15 PTS, 44.4 FG%, 4-5 from 3PT) and Saniya Rivers (13 PTS, 6 AST, 42.9 FG%) leading the way.

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Mystics vs. Sun Betting Lines

Grab a look below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Mystics-Sun game.

• Favorite: Mystics (-5.5)
• Total: 156.5
• Mystics Moneyline: -210
• Sun Moneyline: +164

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Mystics Betting Insights

• The Mystics have an implied moneyline win probability of 67.7% in this game.
• Washington is 6-4 in games when favored on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games).
• The Mystics have compiled a 15-11-0 record against the spread this season.
• Washington's 26 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 156.5 points 16 times.
• The average point total in Mystics outings this year is 163.7, 7.2 more points than this game's over/under.

Sun Betting Insights

• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 37.9% chance of a victory for the Sun.
• This season, Connecticut has won six out of the 24 games, or 25%, in which it has been the underdog.
• The Sun have won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
• Connecticut has combined with its opponent to score more than 156.5 points in 21 of 27 games this season.
• The Sun's average game total this season has been 166.2, 9.7 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Key Stats for Mystics vs. Sun

• Washington records 80.8 points per game, 6.3 fewer points than the 87.1 Connecticut gives up.
• The Mystics are 6-1 when scoring more than 87.1 points.
• So far in 2026, Washington's offense has been significantly better at home, where it averages 83.5 points per game, compared to road games, where it records 78.4 per game. On the defensive side of the ball, it has been worse in home games, where it allows 84.8 points per game, versus road games, where it allows opponents to average 81.7 per game.
• Connecticut puts up just 3.1 fewer points per game (80.0) than Washington allows (83.1).
• When they score more than 83.1 points, the Sun are 5-4.
• Connecticut scores 81.4 points per game at home, 2.9 more than on the road (78.5). Defensively, it allows 85.0 per game, 4.3 fewer points than away (89.3).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.