Murray State vs. UIC Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MVC Tournament

The MVC conference tournament continues Friday as the No. 4 seed Murray State Racers (20-11, 12-8 MVC) face off against the No. 5 seed UIC Flames (17-14, 12-8 MVC) at Enterprise Center, beginning at 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Murray State is a 1.5-point favorite to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 148.5 points.

Murray State is coming off of an 87-78 loss to Bradley in its last outing on Sunday. In the loss, Roman Domon led Murray State with 20 points. UIC dropped its most recent game 79-63 against Indiana State on Sunday. Elijah Crawford put up 18 points, four rebounds and four assists for UIC.

Murray State vs. UIC Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, March 6, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Enterprise Center in St. Louis, Missouri
• Spread favorite: Murray State -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Murray State -117
• Moneyline underdog: UIC -103
• Over/Under: 148.5 points

How to watch Murray State vs. UIC

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Murray State vs. UIC

• Murray State and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Friday's over/under of 148.5 points 25 times this season.
• A total of 13 of UIC's games have ended with a combined score higher than 148.5 points this season.
• The point total for the contest of 148.5 is 10.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Racers (83.5) and Flames (75.3).
• The 149.3 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 0.8 more than the 148.5-point over/under in this contest.
• This season, the average over/under for Murray State's games is 163 points, 14.5 more than the total of 148.5 points set for this contest.
• UIC's games have an average over/under of 145.1 points this season, 3.4 fewer points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Murray State vs. UIC

• In Murray State's 31 games this year, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• The Racers are 12-11 ATS when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
• Against the spread, UIC is 15-14-0 this year.
• The Flames have an ATS record of 9-7 in their 16 games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more this season.
• Murray State is 8-7 against the spread, and 12-3 overall, at home.
• This year, as a 1.5-point favorite or greater at home, Murray State is 8-6 ATS.
• UIC is 8-7 against the spread, and 7-8 overall, in away games.
• UIC has one win ATS (1-3) as 1.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Murray State vs. UIC

• This season, Murray State has won 17 out of the 22 games, or 77.3%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Racers have a record of 17-5 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -117 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.9% chance of a victory for Murray State.
• UIC has been victorious in six, or 37.5%, of the 16 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Flames have a win-loss record of 5-10 with odds of -103 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UIC has a 50.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.