Michigan vs. Iowa Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 5

The No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (27-2, 17-1 Big Ten) are favored by 8.5 points over the Iowa Hawkeyes (20-9, 10-8 Big Ten) on March 5, 2026 at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. The Wolverines are flying, having won two in a row and going 9-1 in their past 10 games. The matchup's point total is 145.5.

Their last time out, Michigan won on Friday 84-70 against Illinois. Aday Mara's team-high 19 points led Michigan in the win. Iowa's most recent contest was a 71-69 loss to Penn State on Saturday. Cooper Koch put up 18 points, one rebound and one assist for Iowa.

Michigan vs. Iowa Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City, Iowa
• Spread favorite: Michigan -8.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan -457
• Moneyline underdog: Iowa +341
• Over/Under: 145.5 points

How to watch Michigan vs. Iowa

• TV Channel: Peacock
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan vs. Iowa

• This season, 23 of Michigan's 29 games have gone over Thursday's over/under of 145.5 points.
• This season, 11 games Iowa has played finished with a combined score higher than 145.5 points.
• The over/under for the game of 145.5 is 19.2 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wolverines (89.0 points per game) and the Hawkeyes (75.7 points per game).
• These two teams give up a combined 133.7 points per game, 11.8 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Michigan's games is 157.7 points, 12.2 more than the total of 145.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 4.8 points higher than the average over/under in Iowa's games this season of 140.7.

Betting the Spread: Michigan vs. Iowa

• Michigan is 15-14-0 against the spread this season.
• This season, the Wolverines have an ATS record of 9-12 in their 21 games as a favorite of 8.5 points or more.
• Iowa is 17-12-0 against the spread this season.
• The Hawkeyes have been underdogs by 8.5 points or more two times this season and have covered the spread every time.
• At home this season, Iowa is 14-2 overall and 9-7 against the spread.
• As a 8.5-point underdog or greater at home, Iowa is 6-5 ATS.
• Away from home, Michigan is 10-0 overall and 4-6 against the spread.
• Michigan has one win ATS (1-5) away from home as 8.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan vs. Iowa

• This season, Michigan has been moneyline favorites 28 times and won 26, or 92.9%, of those games.
• The Wolverines have a record of 20-1 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -457 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Michigan has a 82% chance to win.
• Iowa has been a moneyline underdog in seven games this season and has come away with the win one time (14.3%) in those contests.
• The Hawkeyes have been listed as an underdog of +341 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Iowa has a 22.7% chance of pulling out a win.