Michigan vs. Illinois Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 27

The No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (26-2, 16-1 Big Ten) are favored by 1.5 points over the No. 10 Illinois Fighting Illini (22-6, 13-4 Big Ten) on February 27, 2026 at State Farm Center. The Wolverines are flying, going 9-1 in their past 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 158.5 points.

Michigan took care of business in its last outing 77-67 against Minnesota on Tuesday. In the win, Elliot Cadeau led Michigan with 15 points. Illinois' most recent contest was a 95-94 overtime loss to UCLA on Saturday. Keaton Wagler scored a team-leading 19 points for Illinois in the loss.

Michigan vs. Illinois Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, February 27, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: State Farm Center in Champaign, Illinois
• Spread favorite: Michigan -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan -129
• Moneyline underdog: Illinois +106
• Over/Under: 158.5 points

How to watch Michigan vs. Illinois

• TV Channel: FOX
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan vs. Illinois

• This season, Michigan and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's over/under of 158.5 points 12 times.
• In Illinois' 28 games this season, 12 finished with more combined points than Friday's over/under of 158.5.
• The over/under for the game of 158.5 is 15.7 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wolverines (89.1) and Fighting Illini (85.1).
• The 137.7 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 20.8 less than the 158.5-point over/under in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for Michigan's games is 157.8 points, 0.7 lower than the over/under of 158.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 4.3 points higher than the average over/under in Illinois' games this season of 154.2.

Betting the Spread: Michigan vs. Illinois

• Michigan is 14-14-0 against the spread this season.
• The Wolverines are 13-14 ATS when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
• Illinois is 17-11-0 against the spread this season.
• The Fighting Illini have an against the spread record of 3-2 in their five games when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this season.
• At home this year, Illinois is 9-6 against the spread and 13-2 overall.
• At home, as a 1.5-point underdog or more, Illinois is 9-6 ATS.
• Michigan is 3-6 against the spread, and 9-0 overall, away from home.
• Michigan is 3-6 ATS as 1.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan vs. Illinois

• Michigan has entered the game as moneyline favorites 27 times this season and won 25, or 92.6%, of those games.
• The Wolverines have entered 27 games this season favored by -129 or more and are 25-2 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from Michigan, based on the moneyline, is 56.3%.
• Illinois has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in five games this year and has walked away with the win three times (60%) in those games.
• This year, the Fighting Illini have won two of three games when listed as at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
• Illinois has an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.