Merrimack vs. Siena Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 20

The Merrimack Warriors (18-9, 14-2 MAAC) battle the Siena Saints (18-9, 11-5 MAAC) on February 20, 2026 at Lawler Arena. The Warriors are favored by 2.5 points as they enter the matchup winners of six in a row and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. The matchup's over/under is set at 133.5.

Last time out, Merrimack won on Sunday 56-49 over Quinnipiac. Kevair Kennedy scored a team-high 24 points for Merrimack in the win. Siena is coming off of a 67-63 win over Marist in its last game on Sunday. In Siena's win, Antonio Chandler led the way with 19 points (adding five rebounds and zero assists).

Merrimack vs. Siena Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, February 20, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Lawler Arena in North Andover, Massachusetts
• Spread favorite: Merrimack -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Merrimack -143
• Moneyline underdog: Siena +118
• Over/Under: 133.5 points

How to watch Merrimack vs. Siena

• TV Channel: ESPNU
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Merrimack vs. Siena

• Merrimack and its opponents have combined to go over Friday's total of 133.5 points 16 times this season.
• This season, 17 of Siena's games have ended with a combined score higher than 133.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 139.4 points per game, 5.9 points more than the total of 133.5 for this matchup.
• The 132.8 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 0.7 less than the 133.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, Merrimack has seen a 135.0-point over/under in its games this season, 1.5 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Siena's games have an average over/under of 137.1 points this season, 3.6 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Merrimack vs. Siena

• In Merrimack's 27 games this season, it has 18 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Warriors have been installed as favorites by a 2.5-point margin or more nine times and are 8-1 ATS in those contests.
• Siena has played 27 games, with 15 wins against the spread.
• The Saints have covered the spread twice this year when underdogs by 2.5 points or more (in three chances).
• At home this year, Merrimack is 9-0 overall and 8-1 against the spread.
• At home, as a 2.5-point favorite or greater, Merrimack is 7-1 ATS.
• Siena is 9-5 overall, and 9-5 against the spread, in away games.
• This year Siena is 5-2 ATS as 2.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Merrimack vs. Siena

• This season, Merrimack has been moneyline favorites 11 times and won 10, or 90.9%, of those games.
• The Warriors have entered nine games this season favored by -143 or more, and won each of those games.
• Merrimack has a 58.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Siena has been victorious in one of the four contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Saints have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +118 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• Siena has an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Merrimack vs. Siena

• Pick ATS: Siena (+ 2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (133.5)
  
• Prediction: Siena 70 - Merrimack 69