Lightning vs. Wild NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 3

One of the best squads from each conference will face off on Tuesday, March 3 when the second-place Tampa Bay Lightning (Eastern Conference) visit the third-place Minnesota Wild (Western Conference). The Wild are underdogs despite being the hosts, at +120, and the Lightning are -142.

Tampa Bay's most recent game was a 6-2 home loss to the Buffalo Sabres on Feb. 28. Victor Hedman had two points (one goal and one assist) for the Lightning.

Minnesota played at home its last time out on March 1, and lost 3-1 against the St. Louis Blues. Three Wild players had one point each in that matchup, including Quinn Hughes (one assist) and Kirill Kaprizov (one goal).

Before watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which squad we pick to bring home the victory in Tuesday's action on the ice.

Lightning vs. Wild Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Minnesota Wild, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 4 - Wild 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.07 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Wild Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Lightning-Wild matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-142)
• Underdog: Wild (+120)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning are 31-16 this season when listed as a moneyline favorite.
• Tampa Bay is 24-10 (victorious in 70.6% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -142 or shorter.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Lightning have an implied probability of 58.7% to win.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have posted more than 6.5 goals in 26 of 58 games this season.

Wild Betting Insights

• The Wild have won 15, or 60.0%, of the 25 games they have played while the underdog this season.
• This season Minnesota has won six of its nine games, or 66.7%, when it's the underdog by at least +120 on the moneyline.
• The Wild have a 45.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Minnesota's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 34 of 61 times.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 205 total goals (3.5 per game) make it the fourth-highest scoring team in the NHL.
• Defensively, the Lightning have been one of the stingiest squads in league play, conceding 151 total goals (2.6 per game) to rank second.
• Its +54 goal differential is the second-best in the league.
• The 39 power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season (to rank 13th in the NHL) have come on 183 power-play chances.
• Tampa Bay has the league's 14th-ranked power-play conversion rate (21.31%).
• The three shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 22nd among NHL squads.
• Tampa Bay's 83.06% penalty-kill success rate is the fifth-best in the league.
• Tampa Bay wins 47.2% of its faceoffs (28th in NHL).
• The Lightning shoot 12.4% as a team (fourth in the league).

Wild Key Stats

• Minnesota is ninth in the NHL in scoring (200 goals, 3.3 per game).
• The Wild concede 2.9 goals per game (176 in total), 11th in the NHL.
• Its +24 goal differential is the sixth-best in the league.
• The Wild have 52 power-play goals (on 200 chances), third in the NHL.
• Minnesota's power-play percentage (26) puts the team fifth in the league.
• This season, the Wild have five shorthanded goals (11th in league).
• The 77.56% penalty-kill percentage of Minnesota is 23rd in the league.
• At 46.3%, Minnesota has the NHL's 31st-ranked faceoff win rate.
• With a shooting percentage of 11.4%, the Wild are 12th in the league.