Liberty vs. Western Kentucky Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 21

The Liberty Flames (23-3, 15-0 CUSA) are favored by 7.5 points over the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (15-11, 8-7 CUSA) on February 21, 2026 at Liberty Arena. The Flames are on a roll, having won 17 in a row and going 10-0 in their past 10 games. The matchup's over/under is set at 146.5.

Liberty enters this contest on the heels of a 90-89 win against Florida International in overtime on Thursday. Zach Cleveland put up 18 points, four rebounds and eight assists for Liberty. Western Kentucky is coming off of an 88-87 OT victory against Delaware in its most recent outing on Wednesday. Teagan Moore scored 27 points in Western Kentucky's win, leading the team.

Liberty vs. Western Kentucky Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
• Where: Liberty Arena in Lynchburg, Virginia
• Spread favorite: Liberty -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Liberty -360
• Moneyline underdog: Western Kentucky +272
• Over/Under: 146.5 points

How to watch Liberty vs. Western Kentucky

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Liberty vs. Western Kentucky

• This season, 11 of Liberty's 23 games have gone over Saturday's total of 146.5 points.
• There have been 12 Western Kentucky games that finished with a combined score higher than 146.5 points this season.
• The Flames average 79.3 points per game against the Hilltoppers' 77.9, totaling 10.7 points over the contest's over/under of 146.5.
• The 143.6 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 2.9 less than the 146.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, Liberty has had a 147.9-point over/under in its games this season, 1.4 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• A difference of 6.5 points separates the average over/under in Western Kentucky's games (153.0 points) and this matchup's over/under (146.5).

Betting the Spread: Liberty vs. Western Kentucky

• Liberty has played 23 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
• The Flames have been favored by 7.5 points or more 12 times this season and are 5-7 ATS in those matchups.
• Against the spread, Western Kentucky is 12-12-0 this year.
• The Hilltoppers have been underdogs by 7.5 points or more two times this year and have covered the spread every time.
• At home this season, Liberty is 10-0 overall and 5-5 against the spread.
• Liberty is 5-5 ATS as a 7.5-point favorite or more at home.
• This year in away games, Western Kentucky is 4-5 against the spread and 4-5 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Liberty vs. Western Kentucky

• Liberty has been the moneyline favorite in 20 games this season and won 18 (90%) of those contests.
• The Flames have entered nine games this season favored by -360 or more, and won each of those games.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Liberty has a 78.3% chance to win.
• Western Kentucky has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win two times (20%) in those games.
• The Hilltoppers have been listed as an underdog of +272 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• Western Kentucky has an implied victory probability of 26.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.