Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 5

The Liberty Flames (24-5, 16-2 CUSA) face the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (16-13, 9-9 CUSA) on March 5, 2026 at Liberty Arena. The Flames are favored by 8.5 points as they enter the matchup 8-2 in their last 10 games. The over/under for the matchup is 138.5.

Liberty heads into this matchup after an 81-78 victory over Jacksonville State on Saturday. In the win, Kaden Metheny paced Liberty with 24 points. Louisiana Tech's last contest was an 84-76 loss to Florida International on Saturday. Jaylen Fenner's team-leading 25 points paced Louisiana Tech in the losing effort.

Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Liberty Arena in Lynchburg, Virginia
• Spread favorite: Liberty -8.5
• Moneyline favorite: Liberty -476
• Moneyline underdog: Louisiana Tech +363
• Over/Under: 138.5 points

How to watch Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech

• Liberty and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (138.5 points) 20 times this season.
• A total of 12 of Louisiana Tech's games have ended with a combined score higher than 138.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 148 points per game, 9.5 points more than the point total of 138.5 for this contest.
• The 135.2 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 3.3 fewer than the 138.5 over/under in this contest.
• On average, Liberty has seen a 148.6-point over/under in its games this season, 10.1 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this contest is 3.9 points higher than the average over/under in Louisiana Tech's games this season of 134.6.

Betting the Spread: Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech

• Liberty has played 26 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Flames have an ATS record of 3-7 in their 10 games as a favorite of 8.5 points or more.
• Louisiana Tech is 13-13-0 against the spread this year.
• The Bulldogs have covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 8.5 points or more (in two chances).
• At home this year, Liberty is 5-6 against the spread and 10-1 overall.
• At home, as a 8.5-point favorite or more, Liberty is 3-5 ATS.
• Louisiana Tech is 2-10 overall, and 5-7 against the spread, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech

• This season, Liberty has been moneyline favorites 23 times and won 19, or 82.6%, of those games.
• The Flames have been at least a -476 moneyline favorite seven times this season and won each of those games.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 82.6% chance of a victory for Liberty.
• Louisiana Tech has won in five, or 31.2%, of the 16 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• Oddsmakers have given the Bulldogs the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +363 moneyline listed for this contest.
• Louisiana Tech has an implied victory probability of 21.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.