Raiders vs. Dolphins Week 1 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
08 September 2026

The Las Vegas Raiders (0-0) are considered favorites (-3) according to the oddsmakers ahead of their game against the Miami Dolphins (0-0) on September 13, 2026, starting at 4:25 p.m. ET, airing on FOX. The predicted point total for the matchup is 40.5.
The Raiders were a bottom-five offense last season, ranking worst with 245.2 yards per game. On the defensive side of the ball, they ranked 14th in the NFL (317.8 yards allowed per game). The Dolphins totaled 20.4 points per game on offense last season (25th in NFL), and they ranked 24th defensively with 24.9 points allowed per game.
Raiders vs. Dolphins Odds and Game Time
- Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- City: Paradise, Nevada
- Venue: Allegiant Stadium
- Total: 40.5 points
- Spread: Raiders -3
- Moneyline: Raiders (-170), Dolphins (+142)
How to watch Raiders vs. Dolphins
- TV Channel: FOX
Betting the Over/Under: Raiders vs. Dolphins
- The Raiders and their opponents combined to score more than 40.5 points in nine of 17 games last season.
- Raiders games hit the over eight out of 17 times last season.
- The Dolphins played 12 games last season that ended with a combined score higher than 40.5 points.
- A total of 10 of Miami's games last year went over the point total.
- These teams racked up a combined 34.6 points per game last season, 5.9 fewer points than the point total for this matchup.
- Opponents of these teams scored 50.3 combined points per game last year, 9.8 more than the total for this matchup.
Betting the Spread: Raiders vs. Dolphins
- Las Vegas covered seven times in 17 matchups with a spread last season.
- Las Vegas covered the spread once last season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
- The Dolphins won eight games against the spread last season, while failing to cover nine times.
- Miami was an underdog by 3 points or more nine times last season, and covered the spread in five of those games.
- At home last season, the Raiders were 4-5 against the spread and 2-7 overall.
- Las Vegas had one win ATS (1-1) as 3-point favorites or more at home last year.
- The Dolphins were 2-6 overall, and 3-5 against the spread, on the road last season.
- On the road, Miami had two wins ATS (2-2) as 3-point underdogs or more.
Betting the Moneyline: Raiders vs. Dolphins
- Las Vegas won one of the three games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (33.3%).
- Last season, the Dolphins won three out of the 11 games, or 27.3%, in which they were the underdog.
- Las Vegas played as a moneyline favorite of -170 or shorter in just one game last season, which it won.
- Miami was 3-6 last season when entering a game as the underdog by +142 or more on the moneyline.
- The Raiders have an implied moneyline win probability of 63.0% in this game.
Dunkel Prediction for Raiders vs. Dolphins
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Raiders (-3) | Over (40.5) | Raiders 26 - Dolphins 18 |
For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.
