Raiders vs. Dolphins Week 1 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Las Vegas Raiders (0-0) are favored by 3.5 points versus the Miami Dolphins (0-0) on September 13, 2026, starting at 4:25 p.m. ET, airing on FOX. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 40.5.

The Raiders ranked worst in scoring offense last season (14.2 points per game), but they played slightly better on defense, ranking 25th with 25.4 points allowed per game. The Dolphins ranked 25th in scoring offense (20.4 points per game) and 24th in scoring defense (24.9 points allowed per game) last year.

Raiders vs. Dolphins Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• City: Paradise, Nevada
• Venue: Allegiant Stadium
• Total: 40.5 points
• Spread: Raiders -3.5
• Moneyline: Raiders (-185), Dolphins (+154)

How to watch Raiders vs. Dolphins

• TV Channel: FOX

Betting the Over/Under: Raiders vs. Dolphins

• The Raiders and their opponents scored more than 40.5 points in nine of 17 games last season.
• Last season, eight of the Raiders' games went over the point total.
• The Dolphins' games last season had a combined scoring total higher than 40.5 points in 12 of 17 outings.
• In Miami games last season, combined scoring went over the point total 10 times.
• The teams combined to score 34.6 points per contest last season, 5.9 fewer points than this game's point total.
• These teams gave up a combined 50.3 points per game last year, 9.8 more points than the total for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Raiders vs. Dolphins

• Las Vegas put together a 7-10-0 ATS record last year.
• Las Vegas won its only game last season when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• The Dolphins won eight games against the spread last year, while failing to cover nine times.
• Miami covered the spread five times last season (5-4 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
• The Raiders were 4-5 against the spread, and 2-7 overall, at home last season.
• Las Vegas was unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 3.5-point favorites or greater at home last season.
• In away games last season, the Dolphins were 3-5 against the spread, and 2-6 overall.
• On the road, Miami had two wins ATS (2-2) as 3.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Raiders vs. Dolphins

• Las Vegas went 1-2 in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 33.3% of those games).
• Last season, the Dolphins won three out of the 11 games, or 27.3%, in which they were the underdog.
• Las Vegas played as a moneyline favorite of -185 or shorter in only one game last season, which it won.
• Miami had a record of 3-5 when it was set as an underdog of +154 or more by sportsbooks last season.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Raiders' implied win probability is 64.9%.

Dunkel Prediction for Raiders vs. Dolphins

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