Jaguars vs. Browns Week 1 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
08 September 2026

The Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) are favored by 9.5 points versus the Cleveland Browns (0-0) on September 13, 2026, starting at 1 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. The matchup has an over/under of 40.5 points.
The Jaguars averaged 27.9 points per game on offense last season, which ranked them sixth in the NFL. Defensively, they ranked eighth, surrendering 19.8 points per contest. The Browns ranked second-worst in scoring offense last season (16.4 points per game), but they played slightly better on defense, ranking 14th with 22.3 points allowed per game.
Jaguars vs. Browns Odds and Game Time
- Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- City: Jacksonville, Florida
- Venue: EverBank Stadium
- Total: 40.5 points
- Spread: Jaguars -9.5
- Moneyline: Jaguars (-469), Browns (+360)
How to watch Jaguars vs. Browns
- TV Channel: CBS
Betting the Over/Under: Jaguars vs. Browns
- In 12 games last season, the Jaguars and their opponents scored more than 40.5 combined points.
- The Jaguars and their opponents combined to go over the point total 10 out of 17 times last season.
- The Browns combined with their opponents to score more than 40.5 points in six of 17 games last season.
- Cleveland and its opponent combined to hit the over eight out of 17 times last season.
- The two teams combined to score 44.3 points per game last season, 3.8 more points than this matchup's total.
- Combined, these teams surrendered 42.1 points per contest last year, 1.6 more points than the over/under for this game.
Betting the Spread: Jaguars vs. Browns
- Jacksonville went 12-5-0 ATS last season.
- Jacksonville covered the spread when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites in two of two opportunities last season.
- The Browns won eight games against the spread last season, while failing to cover nine times.
- Cleveland covered the spread once when an underdog by 9.5 points or more last season (in three opportunities).
- The Jaguars were 7-2 against the spread, and 7-2 overall, at home last season.
- Jacksonville was unbeaten ATS (2-0) as 9.5-point favorites or greater at home last year.
- The Browns had two wins against the spread, and were 2-6 overall, in away games last season.
- Cleveland was winless ATS (0-2) away from home as 9.5-point underdogs or more.
Betting the Moneyline: Jaguars vs. Browns
- Jacksonville won 88.9% of the games last season when it was favored on the moneyline (8-1).
- The Browns were underdogs 14 times last season and won four, or 28.6%, of those games.
- Jacksonville played as a moneyline favorite of -469 or shorter in only two games last season, and it won both.
- Last season, Cleveland was at least a +360 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
- The Jaguars have an implied moneyline win probability of 82.4% in this matchup.
Dunkel Prediction for Jaguars vs. Browns
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Jaguars (-9.5) | Over (40.5) | Jaguars 29 - Browns 15 |
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