Rockets vs. Warriors Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 5

The Houston Rockets (38-22) hit the court against the Golden State Warriors (31-30) on March 5, 2026 on Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA.

Thursday's matchup between the Rockets and the Warriors sees the Rockets as a solid, 9.5-point favorite. A 215.5-point total is set for the game.

Rockets vs. Warriors Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Arena: Toyota Center
• Total: 215.5 points
• Spread: Rockets -9.5
• Moneyline: Rockets (-360), Warriors (+290)

How to watch Rockets vs. Warriors

• TV Channel: Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA

Betting the Over/Under: Rockets vs. Warriors

• In 39 games this season, the Rockets and their opponents have scored more than 215.5 total points.
• The Warriors have combined with their opponent to score more than 215.5 points in 45 of 61 games this season.
• The two teams combine to score 230 points per game, 14.5 more points than this matchup's total.
• These teams surrender 223.5 points per game combined, 8.0 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Rockets vs. Warriors

• Houston has put together a 27-33-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Rockets have covered the spread eight times this season (8-11 ATS) when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites.
• The Warriors have won 26 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover or pushing 35 times.
• Golden State has not covered the spread this season (0-4 ATS) when playing as at least 9.5-point underdogs.
• The Rockets are 10-17 against the spread, and 20-7 overall, at home this season.
• Houston is 6-6 ATS as a 9.5-point favorite or more at home.
• In away games, the Warriors are 12-17 overall and 12-17 against the spread.
• Golden State has one win ATS (1-1) as 9.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Rockets vs. Warriors

• The Rockets have compiled a 35-19 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 64.8% of those games).
• The Warriors have been underdogs in 20 games this season and won seven (35%) of those contests.
• Houston has gone 16-4 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -360 or shorter (winning 80%).
• Golden State has a record of 1-4 when it is set as the underdog by +290 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Rockets have an implied win probability of 78.3%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Rockets vs. Warriors

• Pick ATS: Rockets (- 9.5)
• Pick OU: Under (215.5)
  
• Prediction: Rockets 111 - Warriors 94
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!