Houston vs. Baylor Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 4

The No. 7 Houston Cougars (24-5, 12-4 Big 12) host the Baylor Bears (15-14, 5-11 Big 12) at Fertitta Center, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 4, 2026. The Bears are 15.5-point underdogs in the game. The over/under is set at 141.5 in the matchup.

Houston heads into this matchup following a 102-62 win over Colorado on Saturday. In the win, Milos Uzan paced Houston with 26 points. Baylor won its last game 87-86 against UCF on Saturday. Cameron Carr scored 26 points in Baylor's win, leading the team.

Houston vs. Baylor Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 4, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Fertitta Center in Houston, Texas
• Spread favorite: Houston -15.5
• Moneyline favorite: Houston -1724
• Moneyline underdog: Baylor +911
• Over/Under: 141.5 points

How to watch Houston vs. Baylor

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Houston vs. Baylor

• A total of 12 of Houston's games this season have gone over Wednesday's over/under of 141.5 points.
• This season, 21 of Baylor's games have finished with a combined score higher than 141.5 points.
• The total for the matchup of 141.5 is 18.7 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Cougars (77.5 points per game) and the Bears (82.7 points per game).
• These two teams give up a combined 139.3 points per game, 2.2 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for Houston's games is 139.8 points, 1.7 fewer than the over/under of 141.5 set for this contest.
• Baylor's games have an average over/under of 159.7 points this season, 18.2 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Houston vs. Baylor

• Houston is 15-14-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Cougars have an ATS record of 7-5 in their 12 games as a favorite of 15.5 points or more.
• Against the spread, Baylor is 12-16-0 this season.
• At home this season, Houston is 9-6 against the spread and 14-1 overall.
• Houston is 7-4 ATS as a 15.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• This season away from home, Baylor is 4-5 against the spread and 3-6 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Houston vs. Baylor

• Houston has been the moneyline favorite in 24 games this season and won 20 (83.3%) of those contests.
• The Cougars are undefeated in eight games this season when favored by -1724 or more on the moneyline.
• Houston has a 94.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Baylor has been a moneyline underdog in 13 games this season and has come away with the win two times (15.4%) in those contests.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Bears this season with a +911 moneyline set for this game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Baylor has a 9.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Houston vs. Baylor

• Pick ATS: Houston (- 15.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)
  
• Prediction: Houston 91 - Baylor 70