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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Feb. 25

Game day: Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: Memphis, Tennessee
Arena: FedExForum
Total: 226.5 points
Spread: Warriors -3.5
Moneyline: Warriors (-166), Grizzlies (+140)

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25 February 2026 By Data Skrive

The Memphis Grizzlies (21-35) take on the Golden State Warriors (30-28) on February 25, 2026 at FedExForum.

Wednesday's matchup between the Warriors and the Grizzlies features the Warriors as moderate 3.5-point favorites. The game's over/under is 226.5.

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Odds and Game Time

In 36 games this season, the Warriors and their opponents have gone over 226.5 combined points.
The Grizzlies have played 35 games this season that ended with a combined score over 226.5 points.
These teams average 231 points per game between them, 4.5 more than this game's point total.
Combined, these teams give up 231.7 points per game, 5.2 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Golden State is 25-32-1 ATS this season.
The Warriors have covered the spread 14 times this season (14-15-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
The Grizzlies have won 25 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing 31 times.
Memphis is 11-17-1 ATS this year when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
The Grizzlies are 12-16 against the spread, and 12-16 overall, at home this season.
At home, Memphis is 3-4 ATS as a 3.5-point underdog or more.
The Warriors are 11-17 overall, and 11-17 against the spread, on the road.
This year Golden State is 3-6 ATS as 3.5-point favorites or more away from home.

The Warriors have won 23 of the 40 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (57.5%).
This season, the Grizzlies have been the underdog 37 times and won nine, or 24.3%, of those games.
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -166 or shorter, Golden State has a record of 20-11 (64.5% win percentage).
This season, Memphis has won five of its 29 games, or 17.2%, when it is the underdog by at least +140 on the moneyline.
The Warriors have a 62.4% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.