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Guardians vs. White Sox Game 5 of the ALDS Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Oct. 10

10 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The Cleveland Guardians host the Chicago White Sox for a decisive Game 5 of the ALDS, at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday. Gavin Williams (14-8, 3.76 ERA) gets the start for the Guardians, and Sean Burke (11-7, 3.34 ERA) is the expected starter for the White Sox.

With the White Sox (+117) visiting, the Guardians (-142) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The over/under in this contest is 7.

Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, October 10, 2026
  • Game time: 8 p.m. ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Stadium: Progressive Field
  • Favorite: Guardians (-142)
  • Underdog: White Sox (+117)
  • Over/under: 7

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Guardians vs. White Sox: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Guardians have a 56-47 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 54.4% of those games).
  • Chicago has come away with 57 wins in the 113 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season Cleveland has won 27 of its 41 games, or 65.9%, when favored by at least -142 on the moneyline.
  • This year, the White Sox have won 30 of 65 games when listed as at least +117 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Guardians have an implied moneyline win probability of 58.7% in this contest.
  • The White Sox have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Guardians vs. White Sox: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 166 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Guardians, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 80 times (80-84-2).
  • Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 98 of its 168 games with a total this season.
  • The Guardians have collected an 81-85-0 record ATS this season (covering 48.8% of the time).
  • The White Sox have an against the spread mark of 97-71-0 in 168 games with a line this season.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Guardians vs. White Sox

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