Florida vs. Mississippi State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 3

In a game featuring one of the hottest squads in college basketball, the No. 5 Florida Gators (23-6, 14-2 SEC, 9-1 in their last 10) play the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-16, 5-11 SEC) at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center on March 3, 2026. The Gators are favorites by 23.5 points. The over/under in the matchup is 160.5.

Florida won its most recent matchup 111-77 against Arkansas on Saturday. Thomas Haugh's team-leading 22 points led Florida in the victory. Mississippi State's most recent game was an 88-64 loss to Missouri on Saturday. Josh Hubbard scored a team-best 16 points for Mississippi State in the loss.

Florida vs. Mississippi State Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center in Gainesville, Florida
• Spread favorite: Florida -23.5
• Moneyline favorite: Florida -7692
• Moneyline underdog: Mississippi State +2200
• Over/Under: 160.5 points

How to watch Florida vs. Mississippi State

• TV Channel: SEC Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Florida vs. Mississippi State

• Florida and its opponents have combined to outscore Tuesday's total (160.5 points) 13 times this season.
• There have been 11 Mississippi State games that ended with a combined score higher than 160.5 points this season.
• The point total for the game of 160.5 is 4.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Gators (87.1) and Bulldogs (77.7).
• The 151.7 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 8.8 less than the 160.5-point total in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for Florida's games is 158.6 points, 1.9 fewer than the over/under of 160.5 set for this contest.
• Mississippi State's games have an average over/under of 158.0 points this season, 2.5 points lower than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Florida vs. Mississippi State

• In Florida's 29 games this season, it has 17 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Gators have just one against the spread win in five games as a favorite of 23.5 points or more.
• Mississippi State has played 29 games, with 10 wins against the spread.
• At home this year, Florida is 13-1 overall and 6-8 against the spread.
• Florida has one win ATS (1-4) as a 23.5-point favorite or more at home.
• Mississippi State is 5-4 against the spread, and 4-5 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Florida vs. Mississippi State

• This season, Florida has been moneyline favorites 25 times and won 21, or 84%, of those games.
• The Gators have been at least a -7692 moneyline favorite four times this season and won each of those games.
• The implied probability of a win from Florida, based on the moneyline, is 98.7%.
• Mississippi State has been victorious in four, or 26.7%, of the 15 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Bulldogs this season with a +2200 moneyline set for this game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Mississippi State has a 4.3% chance of walking away with the win.