East Carolina vs. UTSA Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 25

The East Carolina Pirates (9-18, 4-10 AAC) play the UTSA Roadrunners (5-22, 1-14 AAC) on February 25, 2026 at UTSA Convocation Center. The Roadrunners are underdogs by a 4.5-point margin as they enter the matchup losers of two in a row with a 4-6 record in their last 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 151.5 points.

In its most recent outing on Saturday, East Carolina suffered a 68-56 loss to Charlotte. In East Carolina's loss, Jordan Riley led the way with a team-high 20 points (adding five rebounds and two assists). UTSA is coming off of a 100-74 loss to Tulsa in its last outing on Sunday. Jamir Simpson scored a team-leading 20 points for UTSA in the loss.

East Carolina vs. UTSA Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: UTSA Convocation Center in San Antonio, Texas
• Spread favorite: East Carolina -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: East Carolina -207
• Moneyline underdog: UTSA +166
• Over/Under: 151.5 points

How to watch East Carolina vs. UTSA

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: East Carolina vs. UTSA

• East Carolina and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's over/under (151.5 points) 10 times this season.
• This season, 12 games UTSA has played finished with a combined score over 151.5 points.
• The over/under for the contest of 151.5 is 12 points more than the combined points per game averages for the Pirates (70.4 points per game) and the Roadrunners (69.1 points per game).
• This matchup's over/under is 5.7 less than the 157.2 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
• On average, the over/under in East Carolina's games is 4.4 fewer points than the over/under of 151.5 in this contest.
• UTSA's games have an average over/under of 149.7 points this season, 1.8 points lower than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: East Carolina vs. UTSA

• East Carolina has 10 wins against the spread in 26 games this season.
• The Pirates have been favored by 4.5 points or more seven times this season and have covered the spread in two of them.
• Against the spread, UTSA is 8-17-0 this season.
• This season, the Roadrunners have an ATS record of 7-13 in their 20 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more.
• UTSA is 0-10 overall, and 4-6 against the spread, at home.
• UTSA is winless ATS (0-1) as a 4.5-point underdog or greater at home.
• On the road, East Carolina is 3-7 overall and 4-6 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: East Carolina vs. UTSA

• This season, East Carolina has won five out of the 10 games in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Pirates are 3-2 this season when entering a game favored by -207 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 67.4% chance of a victory for East Carolina.
• UTSA has been a moneyline underdog in 23 games this season and has come away with the win three times (13%) in those contests.
• The Roadrunners have a mark of 1-17 in contests where sportsbooks give them odds of +166 or worse on the moneyline.
• UTSA has an implied victory probability of 37.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for East Carolina vs. UTSA

• Pick ATS: UTSA (+ 4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (151.5)
  
• Prediction: UTSA 75 - East Carolina 74