Dream vs. Liberty: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - June 11

The New York Liberty (8-4) will turn to Breanna Stewart (fourth in WNBA, 20.5 points per game) to help knock off Allisha Gray (sixth in league, 19.2) and the Atlanta Dream (8-3) on Thursday, June 11, 2026 at Gateway Center Arena, at 7:30 p.m. ET on FOX5 New York, WANF, Peachtree Sports Network, and Victory+.

Atlanta prevailed by a final score of 82-75 in its last game against Chicago. Leading the way on offense for the Dream was Rhyne Howard, who finished with 17 points, five assists and two steals. Angel Reese posted 17 points, 17 rebounds, four assists and two steals.

New York beat Connecticut 89-80 on the road in its most recent game. Its top scorers were Stewart (28 PTS, 9 REB, 3 STL, 52.9 FG%) and Han Xu (14 PTS, 2 BLK, 50 FG%).

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Dream vs. Liberty Betting Lines

Take a look below at the latest betting lines for the Dream-Liberty matchup.

• Favorite: Dream (-3.5)
• Total: 164.5
• Dream Moneyline: -154
• Liberty Moneyline: +126

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Dream Betting Insights

• The Dream have an implied moneyline win probability of 60.6% in this game.
• Atlanta has an 8-1 record in games when it was listed as a moneyline favorite (winning 88.9% of those games).
• The Dream have covered six times in 11 chances against the spread this season.
• In five of 11 games this season, Atlanta and its opponents have gone over 164.5 points.
• The average total in Dream outings this year is 167.7, 3.2 more points than this game's over/under.

Liberty Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Liberty based on the moneyline is 44.2%.
• This is the first time New York will play as the underdog this season.
• The Liberty are 6-6-0 ATS this season.
• New York has played seven games this season that have gone over 164.5 combined points scored.
• Liberty games this year have had a 170.8-point total on average, 6.3 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Key Stats for Dream vs. Liberty

• Atlanta records just 3.3 more points per game (85.5) than New York allows (82.2).
• The Dream have a 5-1 record when putting up more than 82.2 points.
• Atlanta has been significantly better offensively at home, where it scores 90.4 points per game, compared to on the road, where it puts up 81.3 per game. Defensively, it is better when playing at home, where it gives up 77.2 points per game, versus road games, where it allows opponents to score 80.3 per game.
• New York puts up an average of 87.3 points per game, 8.4 more points than the 78.9 Atlanta gives up to opponents.
• The Liberty have put together a 7-1 record in games when they've scored more than 78.9 points.
• At home, New York is not as good offensively, scoring 83.1 points per game, compared to 95.8 away. But it is better defensively, conceding 79.1 points per game at home, compared to 88.3 away.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.