Dream vs. Liberty: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - June 11

The New York Liberty (8-4) will turn to Breanna Stewart (fourth in WNBA, 20.5 points per game) to help overcome Allisha Gray (sixth in league, 19.2) and the Atlanta Dream (8-3) on Thursday, June 11, 2026 at Gateway Center Arena, at 7:30 p.m. ET on FOX5 New York, WANF, Peachtree Sports Network, and Victory+.

In its last outing, Atlanta picked up an 82-75 victory against Chicago. The Dream were led by Rhyne Howard, who ended the game with 17 points, five assists and three steals, while Angel Reese added 17 points, 17 rebounds, four assists and two steals.

New York beat Connecticut 89-80 on the road last time out, and were led by Stewart (28 PTS, 9 REB, 3 STL, 52.9 FG%) and Han Xu (14 PTS, 2 BLK, 50.0 FG%).

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Dream vs. Liberty Betting Lines

Take a look below at the latest betting lines for the Dream-Liberty game.

• Favorite: Dream (-3.5)
• Total: 163.5
• Dream Moneyline: -160
• Liberty Moneyline: +130

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Dream Betting Insights

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Dream's implied win probability is 61.5%.
• Atlanta has won eight of the nine games when it was favored on the moneyline this season (88.9%).
• The Dream have covered six times in 11 games with a spread this season.
• Atlanta's games this season have gone over this contest's total of 163.5 points five times.
• The Dream have an average total of 167.7 in their games this year, 4.2 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Liberty Betting Insights

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Liberty.
• New York will play as the underdog for the first time this season.
• The Liberty have won six games against the spread this year, while failing to cover six times.
• New York has played seven games this season that finished with a point total over 163.5 points.
• Liberty games this year have had a 170.8-point total on average, 7.3 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Key Stats for Dream vs. Liberty

• Atlanta scores only 3.3 more points per game (85.5) than New York allows (82.2).
• The Dream are 5-1 when scoring more than 82.2 points.
• So far in 2026, Atlanta's offense has been much better at home, where it averages 90.4 points per game, compared to road games, where it records 81.3 per game. On the defensive side of the ball, it has been better when playing at home, where it gives up 77.2 points per game, versus playing on the road, where it allows opponents to average 80.3 per game.
• New York puts up an average of 87.3 points per game, 8.4 more points than the 78.9 Atlanta gives up to opponents.
• When they score more than 78.9 points, the Liberty are 7-1.
• New York averages 83.1 points per game at home, 12.7 fewer points than away (95.8). Defensively, it concedes 79.1 per game, 9.2 fewer points than away (88.3).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.