Lions vs. Saints Week 1 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
08 September 2026

The Detroit Lions (0-0) are favored by seven points against the New Orleans Saints (0-0) on September 13, 2026, starting at 1 p.m. ET, airing on FOX. An over/under of 50.5 points has been established for the matchup.
The Lions had the 22nd-ranked defense last year (24.3 points allowed per game), and they were better on offense, ranking fourth-best with 28.3 points per game. While the Saints' defense ranked 16th with 22.5 points allowed per game last season, they were worse on offense, ranking fifth-worst (18.0 points per game).
Lions vs. Saints Odds and Game Time
- Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- City: Detroit, Michigan
- Venue: Ford Field
- Total: 50.5 points
- Spread: Lions -7
- Moneyline: Lions (-310), Saints (+250)
How to watch Lions vs. Saints
- TV Channel: FOX
Betting the Over/Under: Lions vs. Saints
- In 10 games last season, the Lions and their opponents scored more than 50.5 combined points.
- Last season, 10 of the Lions' games hit the over.
- The Saints and their opponents combined to score more than 50.5 points just twice last season.
- New Orleans and its opponent combined to go over the point total five out of 17 times last year.
- These teams averaged a combined 46.3 points per game last season, 4.2 fewer points than the total for this matchup.
- These teams gave up a combined 46.8 points per game last year, 3.7 fewer points than the over/under for this contest.
Betting the Spread: Lions vs. Saints
- Detroit put together an 8-9-0 record against the spread last season.
- When playing as at least 7-point favorites last season, Detroit had an ATS record of 3-4.
- The Saints compiled a 9-8-0 ATS record last season.
- New Orleans was an underdog by 7 points or more four times last year, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
- At home last season, the Lions were 4-4 against the spread and 5-3 overall.
- At home last season, as 7-point favorites or greater, Detroit had one win ATS (1-3).
- Away from home last season, the Saints were 6-3 against the spread, and 3-6 overall.
- New Orleans had two wins ATS (2-2) on the road as 7-point underdogs or more.
Betting the Moneyline: Lions vs. Saints
- Detroit won seven of the 11 games it was the moneyline favorite last season (63.6%).
- The Saints were underdogs 13 times last season and won three, or 23.1%, of those games.
- In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -310 or shorter, Detroit had a 4-3 record (winning 57.1% of its games).
- New Orleans was 1-3 last season when entering a game as the underdog by +250 or more on the moneyline.
- The Lions have a 75.6% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
Dunkel Prediction for Lions vs. Saints
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Saints (+7) | Under (50.5) | Lions 23 - Saints 20 |
For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.
