Dayton vs. VCU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 6

The Dayton Flyers (21-9, 12-5 A-10) play the VCU Rams (23-7, 14-3 A-10) on March 6, 2026 at UD Arena. The Rams are underdogs by a 1.5-point margin despite entering the matchup winners of six in a row with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games. The matchup's over/under is set at 148.5.

Dayton is coming off of a 65-60 win against Richmond in its last outing on Tuesday. In the victory, Deshayne Montgomery led Dayton with 15 points. VCU's last outing on Tuesday ended in a 70-65 victory over George Mason. Terrence Hill Jr. recorded 16 points, one rebound and two assists for VCU.

Dayton vs. VCU Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, March 6, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio
• Spread favorite: Dayton -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Dayton -122
• Moneyline underdog: VCU +103
• Over/Under: 148.5 points

How to watch Dayton vs. VCU

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Dayton vs. VCU

• Dayton and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Friday's total of 148.5 points 12 times this season.
• This season, 18 games VCU has played finished with a combined score over 148.5 points.
• The Flyers average 75.5 points per game against the Rams' 82.9, totaling 9.9 points over the game's point total of 148.5.
• This matchup's total is 5.8 fewer points than the 142.7 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• Dayton has seen a 145.7 average over/under in its games this season, 2.8 less than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 6.9 points lower than the average over/under in VCU's games this season (155.4 points).

Betting the Spread: Dayton vs. VCU

• In Dayton's 30 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Flyers have an against-the-spread record of 9-11-1 in their 21 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
• Against the spread, VCU is 15-15-0 this year.
• The Rams have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more four times this season and have covered the spread twice.
• Dayton is 8-8 against the spread, and 14-2 overall, at home.
• Dayton is 7-8 ATS as a 1.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• In away games, VCU is 5-4 against the spread, and 6-3 overall.
• As 1.5-point underdogs or more on the road, VCU is 4-3 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Dayton vs. VCU

• This season, Dayton has won 16 out of the 20 games, or 80%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Flyers have entered 19 games this season favored by -122 or more and are 15-4 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 55% chance of a victory for Dayton.
• VCU has been named as the moneyline underdog four times this season but has yet to come away with a victory in any of those games.
• The Rams have won all of their four games in which they were named as at least a +103 moneyline underdog.
• VCU has an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.