Dayton vs. Richmond Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 3

In a matchup featuring one of the sputtering teams in college basketball, the Richmond Spiders (15-14, 5-11 A-10) battle the Dayton Flyers (20-9, 11-5 A-10) at Robins Center on March 3, 2026. The Spiders are 2-8 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 4.5 points. The matchup's over/under is set at 146.5.

Dayton heads into this matchup after a 68-66 victory over George Washington on Friday. In the victory, Javon Bennett led Dayton with 25 points. Richmond lost its most recent matchup 69-66 against Loyola Chicago on Saturday. AJ Lopez put up 23 points, four rebounds and two assists for Richmond.

Dayton vs. Richmond Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Robins Center in Richmond, Virginia
• Spread favorite: Dayton -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Dayton -218
• Moneyline underdog: Richmond +172
• Over/Under: 146.5 points

How to watch Dayton vs. Richmond

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Dayton vs. Richmond

• Dayton and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (146.5 points) 14 times this season.
• This season, 15 games Richmond has played finished with a combined score higher than 146.5 points.
• The total for the matchup of 146.5 is 7.0 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Flyers (75.9 points per game) and the Spiders (77.6 points per game).
• The 144.6 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 1.9 fewer than the 146.5 total in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for Dayton's games is 146.4 points, 0.1 fewer than the over/under of 146.5 set for this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 5.2 points lower than the average over/under in Richmond's games this season of 151.7.

Betting the Spread: Dayton vs. Richmond

• In Dayton's 29 games this year, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Flyers have an ATS record of 6-11 in their 17 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more.
• Richmond has played 28 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Spiders have been installed as underdogs by a 4.5-point margin or more eight times and are 5-3 ATS in those contests.
• Richmond is 8-8 against the spread, and 10-6 overall, at home.
• As a 4.5-point underdog or more at home, Richmond is 6-4 ATS.
• In away games, Dayton is 4-6 against the spread, and 5-5 overall.
• Dayton is winless ATS (0-3) as 4.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Dayton vs. Richmond

• This season, Dayton has won 15 out of the 19 games, or 78.9%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Flyers have a record of 12-4 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -218 on the moneyline.
• Dayton has a 68.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Richmond has been victorious in three of the 10 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Spiders have been victorious two times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +172 or worse on the moneyline.
• Richmond has an implied victory probability of 36.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.