Guardians vs. Rays Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - April 27

The Cleveland Guardians host the Tampa Bay Rays to start a three-game series at Progressive Field, with first pitch at 6:10 p.m. ET on Monday. Parker Messick (3-0, 1.76 ERA) gets the start for the Guardians, who are 15-14 this season and first in the AL Central. Steven Matz (3-1, 4.81 ERA) is expected to start for the Rays, who are 16-11 and second in the AL East.

With the Rays (+118) visiting, the Guardians (-140) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The total for this contest is 7.5.

Guardians vs. Rays Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Monday, April 27, 2026
• Game time: 6:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field
• Favorite: Guardians (-140)
• Underdog: Rays (+118)
• Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Guardians vs. Rays

• TV Channel: Fox Sports 1, CLEG and RAYS
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

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Guardians vs. Rays: Betting the Moneyline

• The Guardians have won seven of the 12 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (58.3%).
• Tampa Bay has been pegged as an underdog in 12 games this year and has walked away with the win six times (50%) in those games.
• Cleveland has played as favorites of -140 or more twice this season and split those games.
• The Rays have not lost in three games this year when given odds of +118 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have an implied moneyline win probability of 58.3% in this matchup.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 45.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Guardians vs. Rays: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Guardians have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 15 times this season for a 15-14-0 record against the over/under.
• So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 27 games with a total.
• The Guardians have a 16-13-0 record against the spread this season.
• In 27 games with a line this season, the Rays have a mark of 16-11-0 against the spread.