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Maple Leafs vs. Flames NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 26

26 October 2026 By Data Skrive

Both the Toronto Maple Leafs and Calgary Flames are coming off a victory, heading into their matchup at Scotiabank Saddledome on Monday at 8:30 p.m. ET. The Flames are underdogs despite being the hosts, at +114, and the Maple Leafs are -135.

Toronto won 7-2 on the road its last time out on Oct. 24 against the Edmonton Oilers. Kirill Marchenko (two assists) and Jack Roslovic (one goal and one assist) were among the three Maple Leafs players who collected two points each.

In its last game on Oct. 24, Calgary secured a 4-1 home victory against the Detroit Red Wings. Joel Farabee's three points (one goal and two assists) in that matchup led the Flames.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which club will bring home the win in Monday's hockey action.

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Maple Leafs vs. Flames Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Calgary Flames, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Flames 3 - Maple Leafs 2
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Maple Leafs vs. Flames Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Maple Leafs-Flames matchup.

  • Favorite: Maple Leafs (-135)
  • Underdog: Flames (+114)

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

  • The Maple Leafs have won 42.9% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (3-4).
  • When playing with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter, Toronto has put together a 3-1 record (winning 75.0% of its games).
  • The Maple Leafs have a 57.4% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this contest.
  • In eight games this season, Toronto and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Flames Betting Insights

  • The Flames have been an underdog in eight games this season, and won four (50.0%).
  • Calgary has a record of 3-3 when it's been set as an underdog of +114 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 46.7% chance of victory for the Flames.
  • Calgary has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in four of 10 games this season.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

  • Toronto's 50 total goals (3.8 per game) make it the second-highest scoring team in the league.
  • Defensively, the Maple Leafs are giving up 40 total goals (3.1 per game) to rank 25th in NHL action.
  • Its +10 goal differential is the fifth-best in the league.
  • The 13 power-play goals the Maple Leafs have scored this season are second-best in the NHL (on 43 power-play chances).
  • Toronto has the league's fifth-best power-play conversion rate (30.23%).
  • The Maple Leafs have scored one shorthanded goal this season (11th among NHL squads).
  • Toronto has a league-leading 95.24% penalty-kill percentage.
  • Toronto wins the ninth-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 51.7%.
  • The Maple Leafs shoot 13.4% as a team (sixth in the league).

Flames Key Stats

  • Calgary has 23 goals this season (2.3 per game), 30th in the NHL.
  • The Flames allow 3.9 goals per game (39 in total), 21st in the NHL.
  • Its -16 goal differential ranks 29th in the league.
  • With eight power-play goals (on 25 chances), the Flames are 11th in the NHL.
  • Calgary has the NHL's fourth-best power-play percentage (32%).
  • In terms of shorthanded goal, the Flames have one.
  • The 84.85% penalty-kill percentage of Calgary is seventh in the league.
  • At 49.5%, Calgary has the league's 21st-ranked faceoff win rate.
  • With a shooting percentage of 8%, the Flames are 32nd in the league.

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