Chattanooga vs. Citadel Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - SoCon Tournament
06 March 2026

The No. 8 seed Chattanooga Mocs (13-18, 7-11 SoCon) are 6.5-point favorites in the SoCon Tournament over the No. 9 seed Citadel Bulldogs (10-21, 7-11 SoCon) on Friday at Harrah's Cherokee Center Asheville. The game starts at 5 p.m. ET and airs on ESPN+, with both teams hoping to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 146.5 points.
In its most recent outing on Saturday, Chattanooga claimed an 86-79 victory over VMI. In the win, Jordan Frison paced Chattanooga with 33 points. Citadel's last outing on Saturday ended in a 93-90 victory over Wofford in overtime. In Citadel's win, Sola Adebisi led the way with 27 points (adding three rebounds and zero assists).
Chattanooga vs. Citadel Odds and Game Time
- When: Friday, March 6, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
- Where: Harrah's Cherokee Center Asheville in Asheville, North Carolina
- Spread favorite: Chattanooga -6.5
- Moneyline favorite: Chattanooga -310
- Moneyline underdog: Citadel +242
- Over/Under: 146.5 points
How to watch Chattanooga vs. Citadel
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Chattanooga vs. Citadel
- Chattanooga and its opponents have combined to go over Friday's total of 146.5 points 15 times this season.
- There have been 12 Citadel games that finished with a combined score higher than 146.5 points this season.
- The Mocs average 76.4 points per game and the Bulldogs score 69.6, which is 0.5 points under the game's point total of 146.5.
- This game's point total is 5.4 less than the 151.9 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
- This season, the average over/under for Chattanooga's games is 151.3 points, 4.8 more than the total of 146.5 points set for this contest.
- Citadel's games have an average over/under of 146.7 points this season, 0.2 more points than the over/under for this matchup.
Betting the Spread: Chattanooga vs. Citadel
- Chattanooga has 12 wins against the spread in 28 games this year.
- The Mocs have been favored by 6.5 points or more five times this season and have covered the spread in two of them.
- Citadel is 13-15-0 against the spread this year.
- The Bulldogs have an ATS record of 10-11 in their 21 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more this year.
- Chattanooga is 4-8 overall, and 4-8 against the spread, at home.
- Chattanooga has one win ATS (1-3) as a 6.5-point favorite or more at home.
- Citadel is 7-8 against the spread, and 3-12 overall, in away games.
Betting the Moneyline: Chattanooga vs. Citadel
- This season, Chattanooga has been moneyline favorites 15 times and won six, or 40%, of those games.
- The Mocs have a record of 3-2 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -310 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 75.6% chance of a victory for Chattanooga.
- Citadel has won in six, or 23.1%, of the 26 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
- The Bulldogs have a win-loss record of 4-16 with odds of +242 or worse this year.
- Citadel has an implied victory probability of 29.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
