Cent. Conn. St. vs. Mercyhurst Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 26

The Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (16-11, 10-6 NEC) face the Mercyhurst Lakers (14-15, 9-7 NEC) as 4.5-point favorites on Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET on NEC Front Row. The matchup has an over/under of 139.5.

Cent. Conn. St. fell in its last matchup 70-51 against Chicago State on Saturday. In Cent. Conn. St.'s loss, Darin Smith Jr. led the way with a team-high 19 points (adding six rebounds and two assists). Mercyhurst came out on top in its last matchup 91-83 against LIU on Saturday. Qadir Martin recorded 25 points, nine rebounds and one assist for Mercyhurst.

Cent. Conn. St. vs. Mercyhurst Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: William H. Detrick Gymnasium in New Britain, Connecticut
• Spread favorite: Cent. Conn. St. -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Cent. Conn. St. -193
• Moneyline underdog: Mercyhurst +155
• Over/Under: 139.5 points

How to watch Cent. Conn. St. vs. Mercyhurst

• TV Channel: NEC Front Row
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Cent. Conn. St. vs. Mercyhurst

• A total of 13 of Cent. Conn. St.'s games this season have gone over Thursday's over/under of 139.5 points.
• A total of 11 of Mercyhurst's games have ended with a combined score higher than 139.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 143.5 points per game, 4.0 points more than the total of 139.5 for this game.
• These two teams give up a combined 138.1 points per game, 1.4 points less than this contest's over/under.
• Cent. Conn. St. has seen a 145.2 average over/under in its games this season, 5.7 points more than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 3.1 points separates this matchup's over/under (139.5 points) and the average over/under in Mercyhurst's games (136.4) this season.

Betting the Spread: Cent. Conn. St. vs. Mercyhurst

• In Cent. Conn. St.'s 25 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• The Blue Devils have an ATS record of 5-3 in their eight games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more so far this season.
• Mercyhurst is 17-10-0 against the spread this year.
• The Lakers have been underdogs by 4.5 points or more eight times this season and are 6-2 ATS in those matchups.
• At home this year, Cent. Conn. St. is 3-6 against the spread and 6-3 overall.
• Cent. Conn. St. is 3-3 ATS as a 4.5-point favorite or more at home.
• Mercyhurst is 4-12 overall, and 10-6 against the spread, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Cent. Conn. St. vs. Mercyhurst

• Cent. Conn. St. has been the moneyline favorite in 15 games this season and won 11 (73.3%) of those contests.
• The Blue Devils have a record of 6-2 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -193 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Cent. Conn. St., based on the moneyline, is 65.9%.
• Mercyhurst has been a moneyline underdog in 13 games this season and has come away with the win three times (23.1%) in those contests.
• This season, the Lakers have come away with a win one times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +155 or worse on the moneyline.
• Mercyhurst has an implied victory probability of 39.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Cent. Conn. St. vs. Mercyhurst

• Pick ATS: Cent. Conn. St. (- 4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (139.5)
  
• Prediction: Cent. Conn. St. 71 - Mercyhurst 64