Cal Poly vs. Long Beach State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 26

The Cal Poly Mustangs (12-16, 8-8 Big West) are favored, by 4.5 points, versus the Long Beach State Beach (8-20, 4-12 Big West) on February 26, 2026 at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center. The Beach are sputtering right now, having lost nine in a row and going 1-9 in their past 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 159.5 points.

In its last game on Friday, Cal Poly earned an 86-75 win over Hawaii. Hamad Mousa's team-leading 24 points led Cal Poly in the victory. Long Beach State's most recent outing was a 78-76 loss to CSU Northridge on Saturday. Long Beach State got a team-best 27 points from Shaquil Bender in the loss.

Cal Poly vs. Long Beach State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Robert A. Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, California
• Spread favorite: Cal Poly -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Cal Poly -218
• Moneyline underdog: Long Beach State +175
• Over/Under: 159.5 points

How to watch Cal Poly vs. Long Beach State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Cal Poly vs. Long Beach State

• Cal Poly and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (159.5 points) 18 times this season.
• There have been eight Long Beach State games that ended with a combined score higher than 159.5 points this season.
• The point total for the contest of 159.5 is 4.4 points more than the combined points per game averages for the Mustangs (81.5 points per game) and the Beach (73.6 points per game).
• This game's total is 2.2 less than the 161.7 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
• On average, Cal Poly has had a 166.4-point over/under in its games this season, 6.9 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 9.1 points more than the average over/under in Long Beach State's games this season (150.4 points).

Betting the Spread: Cal Poly vs. Long Beach State

• Cal Poly is 14-12-0 against the spread this year.
• The Mustangs have yet to cover the spread this season when favored by 4.5 points or more.
• Long Beach State has played 26 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• The Beach are 10-6 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this season.
• Cal Poly is 4-6 overall, and 5-5 against the spread, at home.
• At home, as a 4.5-point favorite or greater, Cal Poly is winless ATS (0-1).
• Away from home, Long Beach State is 1-12 overall and 6-7 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Cal Poly vs. Long Beach State

• This season, Cal Poly has been moneyline favorites three times and won one of those games.
• The Mustangs have played as a favorite of -218 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The implied probability of a win from Cal Poly, based on the moneyline, is 68.6%.
• Long Beach State has won in two, or 10%, of the 20 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Beach have a mark of 1-14 in contests where bookmakers give them odds of +175 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Long Beach State has a 36.4% chance of walking away with the win.