Bowling Green vs. UMass Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 28

The Bowling Green Falcons (16-13, 7-9 MAC) host the UMass Minutemen (15-14, 6-10 MAC) at Stroh Center, beginning at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The Minutemen are 5.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's point total is set at 152.5.

Last time out, Bowling Green lost 88-79 to Western Michigan on Tuesday. Sam Towns' team-high 22 points paced Bowling Green in the losing effort. UMass' most recent contest on Tuesday ended in a 74-73 loss to Ball State in overtime. Isaiah Placide's team-leading 19 points paced UMass in the loss.

Bowling Green vs. UMass Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET
• Where: Stroh Center in Bowling Green, Ohio
• Spread favorite: Bowling Green -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Bowling Green -255
• Moneyline underdog: UMass +202
• Over/Under: 152.5 points

How to watch Bowling Green vs. UMass

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Bowling Green vs. UMass

• A total of 10 of Bowling Green's games this season have gone over Saturday's total of 152.5 points.
• In UMass' 28 games this season, 15 finished with more combined points than Saturday's over/under of 152.5.
• The over/under for the game of 152.5 is 9.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Falcons (81.7) and Minutemen (80.6).
• These two teams surrender a combined 149 points per game, 3.5 less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Bowling Green has had a 153.4-point over/under in its games this season, 0.9 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 5.3 points lower than the average over/under in UMass' games this season of 157.8.

Betting the Spread: Bowling Green vs. UMass

• Bowling Green has played 26 games, with 10 wins against the spread.
• The Falcons are 5-8 ATS when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
• Against the spread, UMass is 10-18-0 this season.
• This season, the Minutemen have won ATS in each of their three games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
• Bowling Green is 4-9 against the spread, and 6-7 overall, at home.
• At home, Bowling Green has two wins ATS (2-6) as a 5.5-point favorite or more.
• UMass is 2-7 overall, and 3-6 against the spread, away from home.
• UMass is winless ATS (0-1) on the road as 5.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Bowling Green vs. UMass

• Bowling Green has won 12, or 63.2%, of the 19 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• This season, the Falcons have won eight of their 13 games, or 61.5%, when favored by at least -255 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Bowling Green has a 71.8% chance to win.
• UMass has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win three times (30%) in those games.
• The Minutemen have a win-loss record of 1-2 with odds of +202 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UMass has a 33.1% chance of walking away with the win.