Red Sox vs. Royals Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 11

The Boston Red Sox host the Kansas City Royals to open a three-game series at Fenway Park, with first pitch at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday. Sonny Gray (17-4, 2.69 ERA) gets the start for the Red Sox, who are 80-67 this season and third in the AL East. Seth Lugo (6-8, 5.04 ERA) is expected to start for the Royals, who are 65-82 and fifth in the AL Central.

The sportsbooks have spoken, making the Red Sox (-206) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Royals (+165) at home. The game's over/under is 8.5.

Red Sox vs. Royals Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Friday, September 11, 2026
• Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park
• Favorite: Red Sox (-206)
• Underdog: Royals (+165)
• Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Red Sox vs. Royals

• TV Channel: NESN and ROYL
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Red Sox vs. Royals: Betting the Moneyline

• The Red Sox have been the moneyline favorite 104 total times this season. They've finished 57-47 in those games.
• Kansas City has been pegged as an underdog in 93 games this year and has walked away with the win 38 times (40.9%) in those games.
• Boston has a record of 3-3 when favored by -206 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Royals have a mark of 1-6 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +165 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied moneyline win probability of 67.3% in this matchup.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 37.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Red Sox vs. Royals: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Red Sox have had an over/under set by bookmakers 147 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 68 of those games (68-74-5).
• So far this season, Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of its 147 games with a total.
• The Red Sox have a 71-76-0 record against the spread this season (covering 48.3% of the time).
• In 147 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 73-74-0 against the spread.