Boise State vs. San Diego State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 3

The Boise State Broncos (18-11, 10-8 MWC) host the San Diego State Aztecs (19-9, 13-5 MWC) at ExtraMile Arena, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 3, 2026. The Broncos are 1.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 143.5.

In its last time out, Boise State won on Saturday 69-53 against Fresno State. Javan Buchanan scored a team-leading 26 points for Boise State in the victory. San Diego State enters this contest on the heels of an 81-76 loss to New Mexico on Saturday. Miles Byrd scored 17 points in San Diego State's loss, leading the team.

Boise State vs. San Diego State Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: ExtraMile Arena in Boise, Idaho
• Spread favorite: Boise State -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Boise State -116
• Moneyline underdog: San Diego State -106
• Over/Under: 143.5 points

How to watch Boise State vs. San Diego State

• TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Boise State vs. San Diego State

• A total of 19 of Boise State's games this season have gone over Tuesday's over/under of 143.5 points.
• This season, 12 games San Diego State has played finished with a combined score over 143.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 157.3 points per game, 13.8 points more than the total of 143.5 for this matchup.
• The 143.7 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 0.2 more than the 143.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, Boise State has seen a 151.3-point over/under in its games this season, 7.8 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• San Diego State's games have an average over/under of 149.6 points this season, 6.1 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Boise State vs. San Diego State

• Against the spread, Boise State is 15-13-0 this season.
• The Broncos have been favored by 1.5 points or more 18 times this season and are 9-9 ATS in those contests.
• San Diego State is 14-13-0 against the spread this year.
• The Aztecs have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more seven times this year and are 3-4 ATS in those games.
• Boise State is 11-3 overall, and 7-7 against the spread, at home.
• At home, Boise State is 7-6 ATS as a 1.5-point favorite or greater.
• On the road, San Diego State is 6-3 against the spread, and 5-4 overall.
• This year San Diego State is 4-2 ATS as 1.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Boise State vs. San Diego State

• This season, Boise State has been moneyline favorites 17 times and won 13, or 76.5%, of those games.
• The Broncos have a record of 13-4 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -116 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Boise State, based on the moneyline, is 53.7%.
• San Diego State has won in two of the seven contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Aztecs have a win-loss record of 1-5 with odds of -106 or worse this year.
• San Diego State has an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Boise State vs. San Diego State

• Pick ATS: San Diego State (+ 1.5)
• Pick OU: Over (143.5)
  
• Prediction: San Diego State 76 - Boise State 73