Belmont vs. Drake Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MVC Tournament

The No. 1 seed Belmont Bruins (26-5, 16-4 MVC) are favored by 11.5 points in the MVC Tournament when they meet the No. 9 seed Drake Bulldogs (13-19, 6-14 MVC) Friday at Enterprise Center, beginning at 1 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The winner moves one game closer to claiming a guaranteed place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under in the matchup is set at 158.5.

Belmont is coming off of an 81-74 loss to Illinois State in its last outing on Sunday. In Belmont's loss, Tyler Lundblade led the way with a team-high 17 points (adding one rebound and zero assists). In its last matchup on Thursday, Drake secured a 67-63 victory against Southern Illinois. Jalen Quinn scored 22 points in Drake's win, leading the team.

Belmont vs. Drake Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, March 6, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET
• Where: Enterprise Center in St. Louis, Missouri
• Spread favorite: Belmont -11.5
• Moneyline favorite: Belmont -800
• Moneyline underdog: Drake +550
• Over/Under: 158.5 points

How to watch Belmont vs. Drake

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Belmont vs. Drake

• This season, Belmont's games have seen a combined score higher than this matchup's 158.5-point total 13 times.
• Nine of Drake's games have finished with a combined score higher than 158.5 points this season.
• The total for the game of 158.5 is 0.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Bruins (84.0 points per game) and the Bulldogs (75.0 points per game).
• These two teams give up a combined 147.3 points per game, 11.2 less than this contest's over/under.
• Belmont has seen a 156.5 average over/under in its games this season, 2.0 less than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 8.7 points separates this contest's over/under (158.5 points) and the average over/under in Drake's games (149.8) this season.

Betting the Spread: Belmont vs. Drake

• Belmont is 18-12-0 against the spread this year.
• The Bruins have been favored by 11.5 points or more eight times this season and are 4-4 ATS in those matchups.
• In Drake's 30 games this year, it has nine wins against the spread.
• The Bulldogs have been underdogs by 11.5 points or more once this year and covered the spread.
• Belmont is 8-6 against the spread, and 12-2 overall, at home this season.
• At home, as a 11.5-point favorite or greater, Belmont is 3-4 ATS.
• On the road, Drake is 3-8 against the spread, and 4-7 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Belmont vs. Drake

• This season, Belmont has won 23 out of the 28 games, or 82.1%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Bruins have entered seven games this season favored by -800 or more, and won each of those games.
• Belmont has a 88.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Drake has been victorious in six, or 31.6%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Bulldogs have played as an underdog of +550 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Drake has a 15.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.