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Austin Peay vs. Stetson Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - ASUN Tournament

06 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The No. 10 seed Stetson Hatters (12-20, 7-11 ASUN) are 11.5-point underdogs in their ASUN Tournament matchup against the No. 2 seed Austin Peay Governors (21-8, 15-3 ASUN) on Friday at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, beginning at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The winner moves one step closer to the conference championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 151.5 points.

Austin Peay is coming off of a 111-97 loss to Bellarmine in its last outing on Saturday. In the loss, Rashaud Marshall paced Austin Peay with 35 points. Stetson is coming off of a 92-76 victory over Eastern Kentucky in its last outing on Wednesday. In Stetson's win, Ethan Copeland led the way with 23 points (adding five rebounds and four assists).

Austin Peay vs. Stetson Odds and Game Time

  • When: Friday, March 6, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
  • Where: VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Florida
  • Spread favorite: Austin Peay -11.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Austin Peay -500
  • Moneyline underdog: Stetson +375
  • Over/Under: 151.5 points

How to watch Austin Peay vs. Stetson

Betting the Over/Under: Austin Peay vs. Stetson

  • This season, Austin Peay's games have gone over this game's 151.5-point over/under 14 times.
  • This season, 16 of Stetson's games have ended with a combined score higher than 151.5 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 156.1 points per game, 4.6 points more than the over/under of 151.5 for this matchup.
  • This matchup's over/under is 1.7 less than the 153.2 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
  • Austin Peay has seen a 155.1 average over/under in its games this season, 3.6 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
  • A difference of 2.7 points separates the average over/under in Stetson's games (154.2 points) and this game's over/under (151.5).
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Betting the Spread: Austin Peay vs. Stetson

  • Against the spread, Austin Peay is 14-13-0 this year.
  • The Governors have covered the spread twice this season when favored by 11.5 points or more (in four chances).
  • Stetson has played 30 games, with 17 wins against the spread.
  • The Hatters are 6-6 ATS when underdogs by 11.5 points or more this year.
  • At home this season, Austin Peay is 10-1 overall and 7-4 against the spread.
  • Austin Peay has two wins ATS (2-1) as a 11.5-point favorite or more at home.
  • Stetson is 2-14 overall, and 8-8 against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Austin Peay vs. Stetson

  • This season, Austin Peay has been moneyline favorites 17 times and won 15, or 88.2%, of those games.
  • The Governors are undefeated in six games this season when favored by -500 or more on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 83.3% chance of a victory for Austin Peay.
  • Stetson has been a moneyline underdog in 26 games this season and has come away with the win eight times (30.8%) in those contests.
  • This year, the Hatters have won two of 16 games when listed as at least +375 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Stetson has an implied victory probability of 21.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

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