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Braves vs. Phillies Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 11

11 September 2026 By Data Skrive

The Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies square off in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Truist Park, at 7:15 p.m. ET. Chris Sale (14-9, 2.10 ERA) will start for the Braves, who are 86-61 this season and first in the NL East. Aaron Nola (6-10, 4.76 ERA) is starting for the Phillies, who are 82-65 and second in the NL East.

With the Phillies (+157) visiting, the Braves (-194) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The contest has a total set at 7.

Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Friday, September 11, 2026
  • Game time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park
  • Favorite: Braves (-194)
  • Underdog: Phillies (+157)
  • Over/under: 7

How to Watch Braves vs. Phillies

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Braves vs. Phillies: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Braves have a 66-39 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 62.9% of those games).
  • Philadelphia has been victorious in 10, or 30.3%, of the 33 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Atlanta is 10-4 this season when entering a game favored by -194 or more on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Phillies have been a moneyline underdog of -194 or longer four times, losing every contest.
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Braves a 66% chance to win.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 38.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Braves vs. Phillies: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 146 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Braves, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 65 times (65-75-6).
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 66 of its 147 opportunities.
  • The Braves have collected a 76-70-0 record ATS this season (covering 52.1% of the time).
  • The Phillies have an against the spread record of 62-85-0 in 147 games with a line this season.
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