Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 21

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (17-11, 8-7 Sun Belt) battle the UL Monroe Warhawks (4-24, 1-14 Sun Belt) on February 21, 2026 at Fant-Ewing Coliseum. The Warhawks are underdogs by a 14.5-point margin as they enter the matchup with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. The over/under in the matchup is set at 164.5.

In its last game on Thursday, Arkansas State claimed a 79-62 victory over Louisiana. Chandler Jackson recorded 31 points, five rebounds and two assists for Arkansas State. UL Monroe's last contest on Wednesday ended in a 77-76 loss to Troy. Krystian Lewis' team-high 19 points paced UL Monroe in the loss.

Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET
• Where: Fant-Ewing Coliseum in Monroe, Louisiana
• Spread favorite: Arkansas State -14.5
• Moneyline favorite: Arkansas State -1613
• Moneyline underdog: UL Monroe +875
• Over/Under: 164.5 points

How to watch Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe

• Arkansas State and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's over/under (164.5 points) 11 times this season.
• This season, eight games UL Monroe has played finished with a combined score over 164.5 points.
• The Red Wolves average 82.4 points per game and the Warhawks score 72.3, which is 9.8 points under the matchup's over/under of 164.5.
• These two teams give up a combined 160.1 points per game, 4.4 points less than this contest's over/under.
• Arkansas State has seen a 159.3 average over/under in its games this season, 5.2 less than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this contest is 9.1 points more than the average over/under in UL Monroe's games this season (155.4 points).

Betting the Spread: Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe

• Against the spread, Arkansas State is 14-12-0 this season.
• The Red Wolves covered the spread in their only game when favored by 14.5 points or more.
• UL Monroe has played 26 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• The Warhawks have an ATS record of 5-5 in their 10 games when underdogs by 14.5 points or more this year.
• UL Monroe is 1-9 overall, and 5-5 against the spread, at home.
• In away games, Arkansas State is 8-7 overall and 8-7 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe

• Arkansas State has been the moneyline favorite in 21 games this season and won 13 (61.9%) of those contests.
• The Red Wolves have played as a favorite of -1613 or more once this season and won that game.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 94.2% chance of a victory for Arkansas State.
• UL Monroe has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 23 games this year and has walked away with the win one time (4.3%) in those games.
• This season, the Warhawks have been a moneyline underdog of -1613 or more seven times, losing every contest.
• UL Monroe has an implied victory probability of 10.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.