Alabama State vs. Southern Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 3

The Alabama State Hornets (10-19, 7-9 SWAC) host the Southern Jaguars (13-16, 9-7 SWAC) at Dunn-Oliver Acadome, starting at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 3, 2026. The Jaguars are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has a point total of 154.

Alabama State is coming off of an 89-88 victory against Alabama A&M in its most recent game on Saturday. In the victory, Micah Simpsom led Alabama State with 24 points. Southern enters this game on the heels of an 82-79 loss to Bethune-Cookman on Saturday. Cam Amboree scored a team-best 21 points for Southern in the loss.

Alabama State vs. Southern Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Dunn-Oliver Acadome in Montgomery, Alabama
• Spread favorite: Alabama State -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Alabama State -113
• Moneyline underdog: Southern -109
• Over/Under: 154 points

How to watch Alabama State vs. Southern

• TV Channel: SWAC TV
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Alabama State vs. Southern

• Alabama State and its opponents have combined to outscore Tuesday's total (154 points) 11 times this season.
• This season, 12 games Southern has played finished with a combined score higher than 154 points.
• The over/under for the contest of 154 is 0.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Hornets (74.1) and Jaguars (80.2).
• The 156.5 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 2.5 more than the 154 total in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in Alabama State's games is 2.0 fewer points than the over/under of 154 in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 4.7 points lower than the average over/under in Southern's games this season (158.7 points).

Betting the Spread: Alabama State vs. Southern

• Alabama State has played 28 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
• The Hornets have an ATS record of 5-3 in their eight games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more so far this season.
• In Southern's 26 games this season, it has 10 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Jaguars have been installed as underdogs by a 1.5-point margin or more 11 times and are 6-5 ATS in those matchups.
• Alabama State is 4-2 against the spread, and 4-2 overall, at home this year.
• At home, as a 1.5-point favorite or greater, Alabama State is 4-1 ATS.
• Southern is 5-12 overall, and 7-10 against the spread, away from home.
• Southern has one win ATS (1-5) away from home as 1.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Alabama State vs. Southern

• This season, Alabama State has won five out of the eight games in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Hornets have entered eight games this season favored by -113 or more and are 5-3 in those contests.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 53.1% chance of a victory for Alabama State.
• Southern has been victorious in two, or 18.2%, of the 11 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Jaguars have a mark of 2-9 in contests where bookmakers give them odds of -109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Southern has a 52.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Alabama State vs. Southern

• Pick ATS: Southern (+ 1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (154)
  
• Prediction: Southern 77 - Alabama State 74