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Aces vs. Fire: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 28

26 July 2026 By Data Skrive

A'ja Wilson takes the Las Vegas Aces (18-8) into a matchup with the Portland Fire (11-16) after scoring 38 points in a 100-99 loss to the Mystics. It's on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, tipping at 10 p.m. ET on The Spot-Vegas 34 and FOX12+.

Las Vegas took a loss by a final score of 100-99 against Washington in their last game. The squad was led by Wilson's 38 points, seven rebounds, five assists, three steals and two blocks and Jackie Young's 24 points, seven rebounds and seven assists.

In its most recent game, Portland fell to Dallas 101-97 at home, with Megan Gustafson (21 PTS, 69.2 FG%, 2-5 from 3PT) and Bridget Carleton (18 PTS, 43.8 FG%, 2-9 from 3PT) the standout performers.

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Aces vs. Fire Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Aces-Fire matchup.

  • Favorite: Aces (-12.5)
  • Total: 177.5
  • Aces Moneyline: -847
  • Fire Moneyline: +540

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Aces Betting Insights

  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Aces have an implied win probability of 89.4%.
  • Las Vegas has gone 18-8 in games as a moneyline favorite (winning 69.2% of those games).
  • The Aces have put together a 14-12-0 record against the spread this season.
  • In 13 games this season, Las Vegas and its opponents have scored more than 177.5 total points.
  • The Aces have an average point total of 174.0 in their matchups this year, 3.5 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Fire Betting Insights

  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Fire have a 15.6% chance to win.
  • Portland has been the underdog in 22 games this season and won eight (36.4%) of those contests.
  • The Fire have compiled a 14-13-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Portland has combined with its opponent to score more than 177.5 points in 14 of 27 games this season.
  • Fire games this season have had an average of 170.3 points, 7.2 fewer points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Aces vs. Fire

  • Las Vegas records just 0.4 more points per game (91) than Portland gives up (90.6).
  • The Aces are 13-2 when scoring more than 90.6 points.
  • Las Vegas has scored at a much lower clip at home than on the road in the 2026 season (88.3 points per game at home versus 93.3 on the road), and has surrendered more points in home games than away from home (87.7 per home game versus 85.2 on the road).
  • Portland averages just one fewer point per game (85.3) than Las Vegas gives up (86.3).
  • The Fire have gone 5-6 when they've scored more than 86.3 points.
  • At home, Portland scores 84.5 points per game, 1.6 fewer than on the road (86.1). On defense, it gives up 88.5 points per game at home, four fewer than on the road (92.5).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.

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