Troy vs. Georgia Southern Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Sun Belt Tournament

The No. 10 seed Georgia Southern Eagles (21-15, 8-10 Sun Belt) are 6.5-point underdogs in the Sun Belt championship game, as oddsmakers think the No. 1 Troy Trojans (21-11, 12-6 Sun Belt) will claim the automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The title game tips off Monday at 7 p.m. ET, live on ESPN2. The matchup has an over/under of 150.5 points.

Troy came out on top in its last matchup 78-70 against Southern Miss on Sunday. Jerrell Bellamy scored a team-best 22 points for Troy in the victory. Georgia Southern's last outing on Sunday ended in an 82-78 win over Marshall. Spudd Webb put up 31 points, five rebounds and one assist for Georgia Southern.

Troy vs. Georgia Southern Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, March 9, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, Florida
• Spread favorite: Troy -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Troy -279
• Moneyline underdog: Georgia Southern +221
• Over/Under: 150.5 points

How to watch Troy vs. Georgia Southern

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Troy vs. Georgia Southern

• A total of 14 of Troy's games this season have gone over Monday's total of 150.5 points.
• There have been 24 Georgia Southern games that ended with a combined score over 150.5 points this season.
• The over/under for the game of 150.5 is 11.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Trojans (80.4) and Eagles (81.5).
• The 153.3 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 2.8 more than the 150.5 over/under in this contest.
• Troy has a 153.8 average over/under in its games this season, 3.3 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Georgia Southern's games have an average over/under of 161.3 points this season, 10.8 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Troy vs. Georgia Southern

• Troy has played 30 games, with 16 wins against the spread.
• The Trojans have been favored by 6.5 points or more 12 times this season and are 5-7 ATS in those matchups.
• Against the spread, Georgia Southern is 17-17-0 this year.
• This season, the Eagles have an against-the-spread record of 3-2 in their five games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more.
• Troy is 7-4 against the spread, and 8-3 overall, at home this season.
• This year, as a 6.5-point favorite or more at home, Troy is 4-4 ATS.
• This season away from home, Georgia Southern is 7-7 against the spread and 6-8 overall.
• Georgia Southern is winless ATS (0-1) as 6.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Troy vs. Georgia Southern

• This season, Troy has won 14 out of the 22 games, or 63.6%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Trojans have won nine of their 12 games, or 75%, when favored by at least -279 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Troy, based on the moneyline, is 73.6%.
• Georgia Southern has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 18 games this year and has walked away with the win eight times (44.4%) in those games.
• This year, the Eagles have won two of five games when listed as at least +221 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Georgia Southern has a 31.2% chance of walking away with the win.