Rays vs. Astros Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 11

The Tampa Bay Rays and Houston Astros clash in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Tropicana Field, at 7:10 p.m. ET. Drew Rasmussen (14-5, 2.88 ERA) gets the start for the Rays, who are 87-59 this season and first in the AL East. Miguel Ullola (0-0, 3.86 ERA) is expected to start for the Astros, who are 75-72 and first in the AL West.

With the Astros (+144) visiting, the Rays (-177) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The contest has an over/under set at 7.5.

Rays vs. Astros Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Friday, September 11, 2026
• Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
• Stadium: Tropicana Field
• Favorite: Rays (-177)
• Underdog: Astros (+144)
• Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Rays vs. Astros

• TV Channel: RAYS and SCHN
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Rays vs. Astros: Betting the Moneyline

• The Rays have won 59 of the 95 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (62.1%).
• Houston has come away with 43 wins in the 82 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Tampa Bay is 7-5 this season when entering a game favored by -177 or more on the moneyline.
• The Astros have a win-loss record of 3-6 when favored by +144 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Rays a 63.9% chance to win.
• The Astros have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Rays vs. Astros: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Rays have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 146 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 67 of those games (67-72-7).
• Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 73 of its 147 games with a total this season.
• The Rays have covered 53.4% of their games this season, going 78-68-0 ATS.
• In 147 games with a line this season, the Astros have a mark of 77-70-0 against the spread.