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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 27

27 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Arizona Diamondbacks clash in the first of a three-game series on Monday at PNC Park, at 6:40 p.m. ET. Mitch Keller (6-7, 4.90 ERA) will start for the Pirates, who are 54-52 this season and third in the NL Central. Merrill Kelly (8-8, 5.12 ERA) is starting for the Diamondbacks, who are 55-51 and second in the NL West.

Oddsmakers expect a close matchup between the Pirates (-120 to win) and the Diamondbacks (-102). The game has an over/under set at 9.5 runs.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Monday, July 27, 2026
  • Game time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: PNC Park
  • Favorite: Pirates (-120)
  • Underdog: Diamondbacks (-102)
  • Over/under: 9.5

How to Watch Pirates vs. Diamondbacks

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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Pirates have been favored on the moneyline 56 total times this season. They've finished 33-23 in those games.
  • Arizona has been underdogs in 58 games this season and has come away with the win 25 times (43.1%) in those contests.
  • Pittsburgh is 25-23 this season when entering a game favored by -120 or more on the moneyline.
  • This year, the Diamondbacks have won 19 of 48 games when listed as at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 106 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Pirates, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 61 times (61-42-3).
  • So far this season, Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 46 of its 106 games with a total.
  • The Pirates have covered 50.9% of their games this season, going 54-52-0 ATS.
  • The Diamondbacks have posted a record of 57-49-0 against the spread this season.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

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