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Mets vs. Braves Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 27

27 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The New York Mets host the Atlanta Braves to open a three-game series at Citi Field, with first pitch at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday. Zach Thornton (1-1, 1.93 ERA) will start for the Mets, who are 44-62 this season and fifth in the NL East. Martin Perez (6-6, 3.38 ERA) is expected to start for the Braves, who are 62-43 and first in the NL East.

The Braves (-111 on the moneyline) have a projected close game with the Mets (also -111 on the moneyline). The contest has a total set at 8.5.

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Monday, July 27, 2026
  • Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field
  • Favorite: Mets (-111)
  • Underdog: Braves (-111)
  • Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Mets vs. Braves

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Mets vs. Braves: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Mets have put together a 33-31 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 51.6% of those games).
  • Atlanta has been victorious in 13, or 46.4%, of the 28 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • New York has a record of 33-30 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -111 on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have a mark of 13-15 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -111 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Mets have an implied win probability of 52.6%.
  • The Braves have an implied victory probability of 52.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets vs. Braves: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Mets have played in 106 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-51-8).
  • So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of its 104 games with a total.
  • The Mets have a 48-58-0 record ATS this season (covering 45.3% of the time).
  • The Braves have posted a record of 55-49-0 against the spread this season.
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