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Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - June 11

11 June 2026 By Data Skrive

The Miami Marlins take a four-game win streak into a home matchup versus the Arizona Diamondbacks at 1:10 p.m. ET on Thursday. Tyler Phillips (0-1, 2.08 ERA) gets the start for the Marlins, who are 33-35 this season and fourth in the NL East. Merrill Kelly (5-4, 5.71 ERA) is expected to start for the Diamondbacks, who are 34-33 and third in the NL West.

The moneyline odds for the game between the Marlins (-118) and Diamondbacks (-102) suggest a close contest. The total in this contest is 8.5.

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Thursday, June 11, 2026
  • Game time: 1:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park
  • Favorite: Marlins (-118)
  • Underdog: Diamondbacks (-102)
  • Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Marlins vs. Diamondbacks

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Marlins vs. Diamondbacks: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Marlins have won 23 of the 34 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (67.6%).
  • Arizona has come away with 15 wins in the 38 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Miami has entered 23 games this season favored by -118 or more and is 16-7 in those contests.
  • This year, the Diamondbacks have won 12 of 31 games when listed as at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Marlins have an implied win probability of 54.1%.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Marlins have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 39 times this season for a 39-27-2 record against the over/under.
  • Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 32 of its 67 games with a total this season.
  • The Marlins have a 33-35-0 record ATS this season (covering 48.5% of the time).
  • The Diamondbacks are 39-28-0 against the spread in their 67 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
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