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Lions vs. Commanders Week 10 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

04 November 2025 By Data Skrive

Having lost one in a row, the Washington Commanders (3-6) will face the Detroit Lions (5-3). The Lions are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -8.5). The expected point total for the game is 49.5.

The Lions are putting up 350.8 yards per game on offense (11th in NFL), and they rank eighth on the other side of the ball with 294.8 yards allowed per game. The Commanders rank 20th in the NFL with 22.3 points per game on offense, and they rank 22nd with 26.2 points ceded per contest on the defensive side of the ball.

Lions vs. Commanders Odds and Game Time

  • Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • City: Landover, Maryland
  • Venue: Northwest Stadium
  • Total: 49.5 points
  • Spread: Lions -8.5
  • Moneyline: Lions (-469), Commanders (+360)

How to watch Lions vs. Commanders

  • TV Channel: FOX Net (Minot-Bismarck, ND)
  • Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Lions vs. Commanders

  • The Lions' eight games this season have gone over this contest's total of 49.5 points four times.
  • A total of four out of eight Detroit games this season have hit the over.
  • The Commanders have played four games this season that have had more than 49.5 combined points scored.
  • In 2025, four Washington games have hit the over.
  • These teams rack up a combined 52.2 points per game, 2.7 more points than this matchup's point total.
  • Opponents of these teams combine to average 48.5 points per game, one fewer point than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Lions vs. Commanders

  • Detroit has compiled a 5-3-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Detroit has been favored by 8.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in two of those games.
  • The Commanders have covered three times in nine games with a spread this season.
  • Washington has been an underdog by 8.5 points or more this year once, and failed to cover the spread.
  • At home this season, the Commanders have two wins against the spread and are 2-2 overall.
  • The Lions have two wins against the spread and are 2-2 overall, in away games.
  • Detroit is unbeaten ATS (1-0) away from home as 8.5-point favorites or more.
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Betting the Moneyline: Lions vs. Commanders

  • Detroit has won four of the five games it was listed as the moneyline favorite this season (80%).
  • This season, the Commanders have won one out of the six games in which they've been the underdog.
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -469 or shorter, Detroit has a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of its games).
  • Washington has played as an underdog of +360 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • The Lions have an implied moneyline win probability of 82.4% in this game.

Dunkel Prediction for Lions vs. Commanders

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Commanders (+8.5) Over (49.5) Commanders 29 - Lions 28

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