Lions vs. Commanders Week 10 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Detroit Lions (5-3) are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7.5) over the Washington Commanders (3-6). The Commanders have lost four games straight. The game has an over/under of 49.5 points.

The Lions rank 11th in total offense (350.8 yards per game) and seventh in total defense (294.8 yards allowed per game) this season. From an offensive standpoint, the Commanders are compiling 22.3 points per game (20th-ranked). They rank 23rd in the NFL on the other side of the ball (26.2 points allowed per game).

Lions vs. Commanders Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• City: Landover, Maryland
• Venue: Northwest Stadium
• Total: 49.5 points
• Spread: Lions -7.5
• Moneyline: Lions (-455), Commanders (+350)

How to watch Lions vs. Commanders

• TV Channel: FOX Net (Minot-Bismarck, ND)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Lions vs. Commanders

• The Lions and their opponents have gone over 49.5 combined points in four of eight games this season.
• Detroit and its opponent have combined to hit the over four out of eight times this season.
• The Commanders have played four games this season that finished with a combined score over 49.5 points.
• In Washington's nine contests this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total four times.
• The two teams combine to score 52.2 points per game, 2.7 more points than this matchup's over/under.
• These two teams together allow 48.5 points per game, 1.0 fewer than this contest's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Lions vs. Commanders

• Detroit has put together a 5-3-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Detroit has covered the spread twice when favored by 7.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
• The Commanders are 3-6-0 ATS this year.
• Washington has not covered the spread this year (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.
• The Commanders have covered the spread twice at home, and are 2-2 overall there, this year.
• The Lions are 2-2 overall with two wins against the spread in away games.
• On the road, Detroit is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 7.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Lions vs. Commanders

• Detroit has won 80% of the games this season when it was favored on the moneyline (4-1).
• This season, the Commanders have won one out of the six games in which they've been the underdog.
• Detroit has a record of 2-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -455 or shorter (66.7%).
• Washington has played as an underdog of +350 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The Lions have an implied moneyline win probability of 82.0% in this matchup.

Dunkel Prediction for Lions vs. Commanders

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