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Aces vs. Fever: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Sept. 30

29 September 2025 By Data Skrive

The Las Vegas Aces and Indiana Fever are playing in the WNBA playoffs semifinals, with Game 5 up next.

Las Vegas' previous game ended in a loss to Indiana 90-83 on the road. A'ja Wilson (31 PTS, 9 REB, 4 STL, 3 BLK, 58.3 FG%) and Jackie Young (18 PTS, 9 AST, 60 FG%, 2-4 from 3PT) led the Aces, while Kelsey Mitchell (25 PTS, 45 FG%, 2-5 from 3PT) and Aliyah Boston (24 PTS, 14 REB, 5 AST, 2 STL, 2 BLK, 46.7 FG%) paced the Fever.

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Aces vs. Fever Predictions

For the upcoming contest between the Aces and Fever, computer-derived against-the-spread, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Pick ATS: Aces (- 7.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (158)
  • Prediction: Aces 87 - Fever 75

Aces vs. Fever Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the latest betting lines for the Aces-Fever game.

  • Favorite: Aces (-7.5)
  • Total: 158
  • Aces Moneyline: -355
  • Fever Moneyline: +270

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Aces Betting Insights

  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Aces have an implied win probability of 78.0%.
  • Las Vegas has won 29 of the 38 games when it was favored on the moneyline this season (76.3%).
  • The Aces are 27-23-1 ATS this season.
  • Las Vegas' games this season have featured more combined points than this contest's total of 158 points 32 times.
  • Aces outings this year have an average point total of 163.9, 5.9 more points than this game's over/under.

Fever Betting Insights

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 27.0% chance of a victory for the Fever.
  • Indiana has been the underdog in 24 games this season and won 13 (54.2%) of those contests.
  • The Fever have won 28 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover or pushing 23 times.
  • Indiana has played 36 games this season that have had more than 158 combined points scored.
  • The Fever have a 165.8-point average over/under in their outings this season, 7.8 more points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Aces vs. Fever

  • Las Vegas scores 83.6 points per game, only 2.1 more points than the 81.5 Indiana gives up.
  • The Aces are 23-4 when scoring more than 81.5 points.
  • Las Vegas' offense has been much better when playing at home (86.7 PPG) compared to away games (80.6 PPG). Meanwhile, its defense has been worse at home (80.9 PPG allowed) compared to away games (80.6 PPG allowed).
  • Indiana's 84.9 points per game are just 4.2 more points than the 80.7 Las Vegas allows to opponents.
  • When they score more than 80.7 points, the Fever are 20-10.
  • At home, Indiana averages 88.3 points per game, 6.8 more than away (81.5). Defensively, it gives up 80 points per game at home, three fewer than on the road (83).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.

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