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Guardians vs. Twins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 11

11 September 2026 By Data Skrive

The Minnesota Twins will look for another strong showing from a hitter on a roll against the Cleveland Guardians on Friday at 8:10 p.m. ET, at Target Field. Kody Clemens is riding a two-game homer streak. Parker Messick (11-9, 2.53 ERA) will start for the Guardians, who are 74-73 this season and second in the AL Central. Taj Bradley (11-6, 3.95 ERA) is the expected starter for the Twins, who are 69-77 and third in the AL Central.

The moneyline odds for the game between the Guardians (-119) and Twins (-103) suggest a close contest. The over/under for the Guardians-Twins game is set at 7.5.

Guardians vs. Twins Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Friday, September 11, 2026
  • Game time: 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field
  • Favorite: Guardians (-119)
  • Underdog: Twins (-103)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Guardians vs. Twins

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Guardians vs. Twins: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Guardians have gone 47-44 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 51.6% of those games).
  • Minnesota has been pegged as an underdog in 91 games this year and has walked away with the win 40 times (44%) in those games.
  • Cleveland is 40-37 this season when entering a game favored by -119 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Twins have a mark of 38-46 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -103 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Guardians have a 54.3% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Twins have an implied victory probability of 50.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Guardians vs. Twins: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Guardians have combined with opponents to go over the total 70 times this season for a 70-76-1 record against the over/under.
  • Minnesota's games have gone over the total in 80 of its 146 chances.
  • The Guardians have put together a 69-78-0 record against the spread this season (covering 46.9% of the time).
  • The Twins are 78-68-0 against the spread in their 146 games that had a posted line this season.
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