San Diego State vs. Nevada Dunkel NCAA Football Picks, Predictions and Odds - Oct. 11

The San Diego State Aztecs (4-1) visit the Nevada Wolf Pack (1-4) on Saturday, October 11, 2025 in a matchup between MWC rivals at Mackay Stadium. Nevada is a 6.5-point underdog.

The Aztecs' most recent contest was against the Colorado State Rams, and they won by a score of 45-24.

Facing the Fresno State Bulldogs in their most recent game, the Wolf Pack lost 20-17.

San Diego State vs. Nevada Predictions

Ahead of the upcoming game between the San Diego State Aztecs and Nevada Wolf Pack, computer-derived against-the-spread, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Pick ATS: Wolf Pack (+ 6.5)
• Pick OU: Under (42.5)
  
• Prediction: Aztecs 19 - Wolf Pack 16

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San Diego State vs. Nevada Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Aztecs-Wolf Pack matchup.

• San Diego State Moneyline: -248
• Nevada Moneyline: +202

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San Diego State Betting Insights

• San Diego State has won all three of the games it has been favored on the moneyline this season.
• San Diego State has played as a moneyline favorite of -248 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.
• Aztecs games have had a combined total of more than 42.5 points twice this season (over five outings).
• The average total in Aztecs contests this year is 45.9, 3.4 more points than this game's over/under.
• The Wolf Pack are college football's 133rd-highest scoring team this season compared to the 91st-ranked Aztecs.

Nevada Betting Insights

• This season, Nevada has been listed as the underdog in three games and failed to win any of those contests.
• Nevada has not won as an underdog of +202 or more on the moneyline this season in three such games.
• Nevada has combined with its opponent to score more than 42.5 points only twice this season.
• The average over/under for Nevada's outings this season is 51.9, 9.4 more points than this game's total.

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Key Stats for San Diego State vs. Nevada

• In their past three head-to-head matchups, San Diego State has defeated Nevada two times.
• The last three times the Wolf Pack have played the Aztecs, they have posted a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring has yet to go over the point total.
• The Aztecs rank 92nd in total offense this season (361.2 yards per game), but they've been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 14th-best in the FBS with 361.2 yards allowed per game.
• San Diego State ranks 75th in points scored this year (28 points per game), but has been thriving on defense, ranking eighth-best in the FBS with 12.6 points allowed per game.
• The Wolf Pack have been struggling on offense, ranking 21st-worst with 320.6 total yards per game. They have been more effective on the other side of the ball, surrendering 373 total yards per contest (75th-ranked).
• Nevada has been struggling offensively, ranking fifth-worst in the FBS with 15.4 points per game. It has been more effective on the other side of the ball, surrendering 25.6 points per contest (82nd-ranked).