UC Davis vs. North Dakota State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 5
05 November 2025

The UC Davis Aggies (1-0) host the North Dakota State Bison (0-1) at University Credit Union Center, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 5, 2025. The Bison are 2.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's point total is 143.5.
In its last matchup on Monday, UC Davis secured a 96-69 win over Menlo. In the win, Nils Cooper paced UC Davis with 18 points. North Dakota State is coming off of a 67-65 loss to Oregon State in its most recent outing on Monday. Markhi Strickland scored 17 points in North Dakota State's loss, leading the team.
UC Davis vs. North Dakota State Odds and Game Time
- When: Wednesday, November 5, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
- Where: University Credit Union Center in Davis, California
- Spread favorite: UC Davis -2.5
- Moneyline favorite: UC Davis -129
- Moneyline underdog: North Dakota State +108
- Over/Under: 143.5 points
How to watch UC Davis vs. North Dakota State
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: UC Davis vs. North Dakota State
- Last year, UC Davis' games went over 143.5 points scored, its current matchup's over/under, nine (out of 29) times.
- North Dakota State's games went over 143.5 total points scored in 22 of 29 matchups last season.
- The two teams averaged a combined 5.6 more points per game (149.1) a season ago than this matchup's over/under of 143.5 points.
- Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 1.4 more points per game last season (144.9) than this matchup's over/under of 143.5 points.
- UC Davis' average point total in outings last year was 138.3, 5.2 points below the total in this game.
- The average point total for North Dakota State in 2024 was 12.2 points higher than this game's over/under.
Betting the Spread: UC Davis vs. North Dakota State
- UC Davis put together a 15-14-0 ATS record last year.
- The Aggies had an ATS record of 6-5 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites last season.
- North Dakota State won 14 games against the spread last year, while failing to cover 15 times.
- The Bison had an ATS record of 6-3 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs last season.
- UC Davis was 6-6 overall, and 6-6 against the spread, at home last season.
- Last year, as a 2.5-point favorite or more at home, UC Davis was 3-5 ATS.
- Away from home last season, North Dakota State was 8-6 overall and 9-5 against the spread.
- North Dakota State went 4-1 ATS as a 2.5-point underdog or more away from home.
Betting the Moneyline: UC Davis vs. North Dakota State
- UC Davis went 9-3 in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 75% of those games).
- The Aggies finished 9-3 last year (winning 75% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -129 or shorter.
- Based on this matchup's moneyline, UC Davis' implied win probability is 56.3%.
- North Dakota State was underdogs in nine games last season and won five (55.6%) of those contests.
- The Bison had a record of 5-4 in games where bookmakers had them as underdogs of at least +108 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by North Dakota State, based on the moneyline, is 48.1%.
Dunkel Index Prediction for UC Davis vs. North Dakota State
- Pick ATS: UC Davis (- 2.5)
- Pick OU:
Under (143.5)
- Prediction: UC Davis 72 - North Dakota State 66
