Bills vs. Dolphins Week 10 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Buffalo Bills (6-2) are solid favorites -- expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -9.5) -- versus the Miami Dolphins (2-7) in a battle of two division rivals. An over/under of 50.5 points has been established for the matchup.

The Bills sport the ninth-ranked defense this season (20.9 points allowed per game), and they've been better on offense, ranking third-best with 29.4 points per game. The Dolphins rank 27th with 291.4 total yards per game on offense, and they rank 24th with 343.7 total yards allowed per game on the defensive side of the ball.

Bills vs. Dolphins Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Miami Gardens, Florida
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
• Total: 50.5 points
• Spread: Bills -9.5
• Moneyline: Bills (-535), Dolphins (+400)

How to watch Bills vs. Dolphins

• TV Channel: CBS (WROC-Rochester, NY)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Bills vs. Dolphins

• In two games this season, the Bills and their opponents have combined to put up more than 50.5 points.
• A total of four out of eight Buffalo games this season have gone over the point total.
• The Dolphins have played four games this season that have had more than 50.5 combined points scored.
• Miami and its opponent have combined to go over the point total six out of nine times this year.
• These teams are scoring 49.4 points per game between them, 1.1 fewer than this matchup's total.
• These two teams surrender a combined 47.9 points per game, 2.6 fewer points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Bills vs. Dolphins

• Buffalo has compiled a 4-4-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Buffalo has not covered the spread when favored by 9.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• The Dolphins have won four games against the spread this year, failing to cover five times.
• Miami has been an underdog by 9.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• At home this year, the Dolphins have two wins against the spread and are 1-3 overall.
• In away games, the Bills have two wins against the spread and are 2-1 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Bills vs. Dolphins

• Buffalo has been the moneyline favorite six total times this season. They've gone 4-2 in those games.
• This season, the Dolphins have been the underdog six times and won one of those games.
• Buffalo has played as a moneyline favorite of -535 or shorter in only two games this season, and it won both.
• Miami has played as an underdog of +400 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The Bills have an 84.3% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Bills vs. Dolphins

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